Bipartisan legislation introduced in March 2026 to prohibit CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports-related event contracts has remained stalled in committee without hearings or floor action. The Senate’s April 30 unanimous resolution barring members and staff from prediction-market trading addressed insider-trading concerns but left public access unchanged. Recent court rulings have reinforced federal preemption over state gambling rules in several jurisdictions, while the CFTC has advanced rulemaking focused on oversight and integrity standards rather than outright prohibition. These developments, alongside competing legislative priorities through the end of the year, underpin traders’ 84.5 percent implied probability that no federal ban will be enacted by December 31, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLegge che vieta i mercati di pronostici sportivi emanata nel 2026?
Legge che vieta i mercati di pronostici sportivi emanata nel 2026?
$13,870 Vol.
$13,870 Vol.
30 giu 2026
$13,870 Vol.
$13,870 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan legislation introduced in March 2026 to prohibit CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports-related event contracts has remained stalled in committee without hearings or floor action. The Senate’s April 30 unanimous resolution barring members and staff from prediction-market trading addressed insider-trading concerns but left public access unchanged. Recent court rulings have reinforced federal preemption over state gambling rules in several jurisdictions, while the CFTC has advanced rulemaking focused on oversight and integrity standards rather than outright prohibition. These developments, alongside competing legislative priorities through the end of the year, underpin traders’ 84.5 percent implied probability that no federal ban will be enacted by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$13,870Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan legislation introduced in March 2026 to prohibit CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports-related event contracts has remained stalled in committee without hearings or floor action. The Senate’s April 30 unanimous resolution barring members and staff from prediction-market trading addressed insider-trading concerns but left public access unchanged. Recent court rulings have reinforced federal preemption over state gambling rules in several jurisdictions, while the CFTC has advanced rulemaking focused on oversight and integrity standards rather than outright prohibition. These developments, alongside competing legislative priorities through the end of the year, underpin traders’ 84.5 percent implied probability that no federal ban will be enacted by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,870Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan legislation introduced in March 2026 to prohibit CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports-related event contracts has remained stalled in committee without hearings or floor action. The Senate’s April 30 unanimous resolution barring members and staff from prediction-market trading addressed insider-trading concerns but left public access unchanged. Recent court rulings have reinforced federal preemption over state gambling rules in several jurisdictions, while the CFTC has advanced rulemaking focused on oversight and integrity standards rather than outright prohibition. These developments, alongside competing legislative priorities through the end of the year, underpin traders’ 84.5 percent implied probability that no federal ban will be enacted by December 31, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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