Republican control of the House, with a comfortable majority following the 2024 elections, forms the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing, as a simple majority vote is required for passage—a threshold unmet amid unified GOP opposition to proceedings against President Trump. Democratic lawmakers, including Rep. John Larson, introduced resolutions such as H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 in early April citing high crimes and misdemeanors, but these garnered no committee action or bipartisan support in the six weeks since. Traders' near-unanimous 98.6% consensus on "No" reflects this procedural impasse and historical precedent of failed third-term efforts. Late-breaking scandals prompting mass GOP defections or unexpected resignations could theoretically shift dynamics before June 30, though such scenarios remain improbable absent major catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$354,341 Vol.
$354,341 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$354,341 Vol.
$354,341 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with a comfortable majority following the 2024 elections, forms the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing, as a simple majority vote is required for passage—a threshold unmet amid unified GOP opposition to proceedings against President Trump. Democratic lawmakers, including Rep. John Larson, introduced resolutions such as H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 in early April citing high crimes and misdemeanors, but these garnered no committee action or bipartisan support in the six weeks since. Traders' near-unanimous 98.6% consensus on "No" reflects this procedural impasse and historical precedent of failed third-term efforts. Late-breaking scandals prompting mass GOP defections or unexpected resignations could theoretically shift dynamics before June 30, though such scenarios remain improbable absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Volume
$354,341Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with a comfortable majority following the 2024 elections, forms the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing, as a simple majority vote is required for passage—a threshold unmet amid unified GOP opposition to proceedings against President Trump. Democratic lawmakers, including Rep. John Larson, introduced resolutions such as H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 in early April citing high crimes and misdemeanors, but these garnered no committee action or bipartisan support in the six weeks since. Traders' near-unanimous 98.6% consensus on "No" reflects this procedural impasse and historical precedent of failed third-term efforts. Late-breaking scandals prompting mass GOP defections or unexpected resignations could theoretically shift dynamics before June 30, though such scenarios remain improbable absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$354,341Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House, with a comfortable majority following the 2024 elections, forms the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing, as a simple majority vote is required for passage—a threshold unmet amid unified GOP opposition to proceedings against President Trump. Democratic lawmakers, including Rep. John Larson, introduced resolutions such as H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 in early April citing high crimes and misdemeanors, but these garnered no committee action or bipartisan support in the six weeks since. Traders' near-unanimous 98.6% consensus on "No" reflects this procedural impasse and historical precedent of failed third-term efforts. Late-breaking scandals prompting mass GOP defections or unexpected resignations could theoretically shift dynamics before June 30, though such scenarios remain improbable absent major catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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