Three members of Congress—Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick—resigned their seats in mid-to-late April 2026 amid separate ethics investigations and misconduct allegations. Cory Mills remains in office and has rejected resignation calls tied to ongoing campaign-finance and conduct probes he denies. With the May 31 deadline only two weeks away and no scheduled floor vote or procedural mechanism forcing Mills out, traders view a complete four-member departure as unlikely. The 89.5 percent implied probability on “No” reflects this timeline pressure and Mills’s continued hold on his seat absent sudden House action or a shift in his position.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$27,623 Vol.
$27,623 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Sì
$27,623 Vol.
$27,623 Vol.
31 mag 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three members of Congress—Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick—resigned their seats in mid-to-late April 2026 amid separate ethics investigations and misconduct allegations. Cory Mills remains in office and has rejected resignation calls tied to ongoing campaign-finance and conduct probes he denies. With the May 31 deadline only two weeks away and no scheduled floor vote or procedural mechanism forcing Mills out, traders view a complete four-member departure as unlikely. The 89.5 percent implied probability on “No” reflects this timeline pressure and Mills’s continued hold on his seat absent sudden House action or a shift in his position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$27,623Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three members of Congress—Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick—resigned their seats in mid-to-late April 2026 amid separate ethics investigations and misconduct allegations. Cory Mills remains in office and has rejected resignation calls tied to ongoing campaign-finance and conduct probes he denies. With the May 31 deadline only two weeks away and no scheduled floor vote or procedural mechanism forcing Mills out, traders view a complete four-member departure as unlikely. The 89.5 percent implied probability on “No” reflects this timeline pressure and Mills’s continued hold on his seat absent sudden House action or a shift in his position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,623Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Three members of Congress—Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick—resigned their seats in mid-to-late April 2026 amid separate ethics investigations and misconduct allegations. Cory Mills remains in office and has rejected resignation calls tied to ongoing campaign-finance and conduct probes he denies. With the May 31 deadline only two weeks away and no scheduled floor vote or procedural mechanism forcing Mills out, traders view a complete four-member departure as unlikely. The 89.5 percent implied probability on “No” reflects this timeline pressure and Mills’s continued hold on his seat absent sudden House action or a shift in his position.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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