**Democratic-led impeachment efforts against Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary began in January 2026 but faced structural barriers that have kept removal odds low.** Rep. Robin Kelly introduced articles citing obstruction of congressional oversight, public trust violations tied to use-of-force incidents, and self-dealing concerns; the resolution drew over 70 cosponsors, mostly Democrats. With Republicans holding the House majority, the measure received no committee advancement or floor consideration. Noem departed the DHS role in March 2026 when President Trump reassigned her to a different position amid separate scrutiny over agency operations and spending. As of mid-June 2026, no active impeachment proceedings exist, and her changed official status removes the immediate target for removal. Trader consensus at 86.9% against impeachment in 2026 aligns with historical patterns in which opposition-party articles rarely advance in a chamber controlled by the president's party, especially once the official has left the position. Upcoming events within the calendar year, such as any renewed legislative push, would need to overcome these same partisan and procedural thresholds to alter the current implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$19,103 Vol.
$19,103 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$19,103 Vol.
$19,103 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic-led impeachment efforts against Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary began in January 2026 but faced structural barriers that have kept removal odds low.** Rep. Robin Kelly introduced articles citing obstruction of congressional oversight, public trust violations tied to use-of-force incidents, and self-dealing concerns; the resolution drew over 70 cosponsors, mostly Democrats. With Republicans holding the House majority, the measure received no committee advancement or floor consideration.
Noem departed the DHS role in March 2026 when President Trump reassigned her to a different position amid separate scrutiny over agency operations and spending. As of mid-June 2026, no active impeachment proceedings exist, and her changed official status removes the immediate target for removal. Trader consensus at 86.9% against impeachment in 2026 aligns with historical patterns in which opposition-party articles rarely advance in a chamber controlled by the president's party, especially once the official has left the position. Upcoming events within the calendar year, such as any renewed legislative push, would need to overcome these same partisan and procedural thresholds to alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$19,103Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic-led impeachment efforts against Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary began in January 2026 but faced structural barriers that have kept removal odds low.** Rep. Robin Kelly introduced articles citing obstruction of congressional oversight, public trust violations tied to use-of-force incidents, and self-dealing concerns; the resolution drew over 70 cosponsors, mostly Democrats. With Republicans holding the House majority, the measure received no committee advancement or floor consideration.
Noem departed the DHS role in March 2026 when President Trump reassigned her to a different position amid separate scrutiny over agency operations and spending. As of mid-June 2026, no active impeachment proceedings exist, and her changed official status removes the immediate target for removal. Trader consensus at 86.9% against impeachment in 2026 aligns with historical patterns in which opposition-party articles rarely advance in a chamber controlled by the president's party, especially once the official has left the position. Upcoming events within the calendar year, such as any renewed legislative push, would need to overcome these same partisan and procedural thresholds to alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$19,103Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Democratic-led impeachment efforts against Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary began in January 2026 but faced structural barriers that have kept removal odds low.** Rep. Robin Kelly introduced articles citing obstruction of congressional oversight, public trust violations tied to use-of-force incidents, and self-dealing concerns; the resolution drew over 70 cosponsors, mostly Democrats. With Republicans holding the House majority, the measure received no committee advancement or floor consideration. Noem departed the DHS role in March 2026 when President Trump reassigned her to a different position amid separate scrutiny over agency operations and spending. As of mid-June 2026, no active impeachment proceedings exist, and her changed official status removes the immediate target for removal. Trader consensus at 86.9% against impeachment in 2026 aligns with historical patterns in which opposition-party articles rarely advance in a chamber controlled by the president's party, especially once the official has left the position. Upcoming events within the calendar year, such as any renewed legislative push, would need to overcome these same partisan and procedural thresholds to alter the current implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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