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icon for Gli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?
Geopolitica·Olio

Gli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?

icon for Gli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?
Geopolitica·Olio

Gli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?

Ended: ago 31

Ended: ago 31

$276,135 Vol.

24 lug 2026
Polymarket

$276,135 Vol.

Polymarket

July 24

$9,613 Vol.

Yes

July 25

$1,934 Vol.

No

July 26

$9,536 Vol.

No

July 27

$1,435 Vol.

No

July 28

$6,945 Vol.

No

July 29

$1,859 Vol.

No

30 luglio

$2,730 Vol.

No

31 luglio

$2,355 Vol.

No

1 agosto

$2,562 Vol.

No

2 agosto

$2,754 Vol.

No

3 agosto

$4,060 Vol.

No

4 agosto

$4,544 Vol.

Sì

5 agosto

$97,178 Vol.

No

6 agosto

$3,323 Vol.

No

7 agosto

$1,915 Vol.

No

8 agosto

$15,269 Vol.

No

9 agosto

$7,108 Vol.

No

10 agosto

$2,398 Vol.

No

11 agosto

$10,681 Vol.

Sì

12 agosto

$2,505 Vol.

No

13 agosto

$1,215 Vol.

No

14 agosto

$6,420 Vol.

No

15 agosto

$6,523 Vol.

No

16 agosto

$3,529 Vol.

No

17 agosto

$15,828 Vol.

Sì

18 agosto

$2,842 Vol.

No

19 agosto

$3,213 Vol.

No

20 agosto

$4,112 Vol.

No

21 agosto

$6,407 Vol.

No

22 agosto

$433 Vol.

No

23 agosto

$2,566 Vol.

No

24 agosto

$6,425 Vol.

Sì

25 agosto

$5,124 Vol.

No

26 agosto

$1,920 Vol.

No

27 agosto

$2,432 Vol.

No

28 agosto

$3,013 Vol.

No

29 agosto

$6,347 Vol.

No

30 agosto

$2,618 Vol.

No

31 agosto

$4,463 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi territorial gains along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, including capture of the Mokha port and Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 10–11, 2026, have tightened control over a critical chokepoint handling 10–12% of global trade and rerouted Saudi oil exports after the Strait of Hormuz disruption. These advances elevate the risk of kinetic strikes on commercial vessels, driving elevated implied probabilities in related Polymarket contracts and pushing Brent crude above $100 per barrel while U.S. diesel prices exceeded $6 per gallon. Freight rates on China–Saudi routes have risen 37% since late July amid rerouting around Africa. Traders are pricing in sustained supply-chain pressure and potential further escalation ahead of any Saudi or international response, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on heightened disruption likelihood through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volume
$276,135
Data di fine
31 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi territorial gains along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, including capture of the Mokha port and Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 10–11, 2026, have tightened control over a critical chokepoint handling 10–12% of global trade and rerouted Saudi oil exports after the Strait of Hormuz disruption. These advances elevate the risk of kinetic strikes on commercial vessels, driving elevated implied probabilities in related Polymarket contracts and pushing Brent crude above $100 per barrel while U.S. diesel prices exceeded $6 per gallon. Freight rates on China–Saudi routes have risen 37% since late July amid rerouting around Africa. Traders are pricing in sustained supply-chain pressure and potential further escalation ahead of any Saudi or international response, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on heightened disruption likelihood through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volume
$276,135
Data di fine
31 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

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Domande frequenti

"Gli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 39 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "July 24" a 100%, seguito da "4 agosto" a 100%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Gli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?" ha generato $276.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 23, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Gli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?", esplora i 39 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Gli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?" è "July 24" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "4 agosto" a 100%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Gli Houthi mirano con successo alla spedizione su...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.