Elevated crude oil prices near $80–83 per barrel for WTI, supported by ongoing Strait of Hormuz supply risks, continue to anchor the U.S. national average regular gasoline price around $4.09–4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, roughly 6–7% below seasonal norms, and steady summer demand have sustained these levels despite record domestic production and recent modest weekly storage builds. Trader consensus on near-term thresholds incorporates the seasonal shift to cheaper winter-blend gasoline after Labor Day, alongside expected EIA inventory data and the September Short-Term Energy Outlook, which could pressure prices lower if geopolitical tensions ease or crude rebounds. Market-implied odds balance these supply-demand dynamics against potential last-minute volatility through month-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
30 set 2026
↑ $4.50
39%
↑ $4.40
47%
↑ $4.30
50%
↑ $4.20
55%
↓ $4.00
55%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
38%
↓ $3.50
33%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
39%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
47%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $4.20
$0 Vol.
55%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
55%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
38%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $80–83 per barrel for WTI, supported by ongoing Strait of Hormuz supply risks, continue to anchor the U.S. national average regular gasoline price around $4.09–4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, roughly 6–7% below seasonal norms, and steady summer demand have sustained these levels despite record domestic production and recent modest weekly storage builds. Trader consensus on near-term thresholds incorporates the seasonal shift to cheaper winter-blend gasoline after Labor Day, alongside expected EIA inventory data and the September Short-Term Energy Outlook, which could pressure prices lower if geopolitical tensions ease or crude rebounds. Market-implied odds balance these supply-demand dynamics against potential last-minute volatility through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $80–83 per barrel for WTI, supported by ongoing Strait of Hormuz supply risks, continue to anchor the U.S. national average regular gasoline price around $4.09–4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, roughly 6–7% below seasonal norms, and steady summer demand have sustained these levels despite record domestic production and recent modest weekly storage builds. Trader consensus on near-term thresholds incorporates the seasonal shift to cheaper winter-blend gasoline after Labor Day, alongside expected EIA inventory data and the September Short-Term Energy Outlook, which could pressure prices lower if geopolitical tensions ease or crude rebounds. Market-implied odds balance these supply-demand dynamics against potential last-minute volatility through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Elevated crude oil prices near $80–83 per barrel for WTI, supported by ongoing Strait of Hormuz supply risks, continue to anchor the U.S. national average regular gasoline price around $4.09–4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, roughly 6–7% below seasonal norms, and steady summer demand have sustained these levels despite record domestic production and recent modest weekly storage builds. Trader consensus on near-term thresholds incorporates the seasonal shift to cheaper winter-blend gasoline after Labor Day, alongside expected EIA inventory data and the September Short-Term Energy Outlook, which could pressure prices lower if geopolitical tensions ease or crude rebounds. Market-implied odds balance these supply-demand dynamics against potential last-minute volatility through month-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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