Ayatollah Khamenei's official X accounts have historically issued statements sporadically rather than on a daily basis, reflecting a preference for formal announcements over routine social media engagement. This pattern, combined with the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader following Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination, supports trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window. Recent activity includes Mojtaba Khamenei's August 10 military reorganization directives and appointments, which align with measured public messaging focused on regime stability and regional posture amid ongoing Iran-Israel tensions. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for these institutional habits and limited catalysts expected to trigger higher volume during the period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKhamenei # posts 18 agosto - 25 agosto 2026?
Khamenei # posts 18 agosto - 25 agosto 2026?
<5 57%
5-9 26%
15-19 12.9%
10-14 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
<5
57%
5-9
26%
10-14
11%
15-19
13%
20-24
1%
25-29
3%
30-34
3%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 57%
5-9 26%
15-19 12.9%
10-14 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
<5
$2,309 Vol.
57%
5-9
$429 Vol.
26%
10-14
$123 Vol.
11%
15-19
$13 Vol.
13%
20-24
$13 Vol.
1%
25-29
$13 Vol.
3%
30-34
$13 Vol.
3%
35-39
$13 Vol.
3%
40-44
$18 Vol.
1%
45-49
$18 Vol.
1%
50-54
$13 Vol.
1%
55-59
$13 Vol.
1%
60+
$13 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Khamenei's official X accounts have historically issued statements sporadically rather than on a daily basis, reflecting a preference for formal announcements over routine social media engagement. This pattern, combined with the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader following Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination, supports trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window. Recent activity includes Mojtaba Khamenei's August 10 military reorganization directives and appointments, which align with measured public messaging focused on regime stability and regional posture amid ongoing Iran-Israel tensions. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for these institutional habits and limited catalysts expected to trigger higher volume during the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$3,001Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Khamenei's official X accounts have historically issued statements sporadically rather than on a daily basis, reflecting a preference for formal announcements over routine social media engagement. This pattern, combined with the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader following Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination, supports trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window. Recent activity includes Mojtaba Khamenei's August 10 military reorganization directives and appointments, which align with measured public messaging focused on regime stability and regional posture amid ongoing Iran-Israel tensions. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for these institutional habits and limited catalysts expected to trigger higher volume during the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,001Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Khamenei's official X accounts have historically issued statements sporadically rather than on a daily basis, reflecting a preference for formal announcements over routine social media engagement. This pattern, combined with the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader following Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination, supports trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window. Recent activity includes Mojtaba Khamenei's August 10 military reorganization directives and appointments, which align with measured public messaging focused on regime stability and regional posture amid ongoing Iran-Israel tensions. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for these institutional habits and limited catalysts expected to trigger higher volume during the period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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