President Donald Trump continues to actively exercise his executive duties, as evidenced by his White House press gaggles on May 12, signing of proclamations earlier this month, issuance of multiple executive orders in 2026, and departure yesterday for a high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, where he arrived today. Earlier April pushes by House Democrats for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment—stemming from heated Iran rhetoric—gained no traction amid Republican control of Congress, rendering Senate conviction or cabinet-led removal highly improbable. With only 18 days until May 31 resolution and no credible ongoing threats, traders price near-certainty at 99.4% he remains in office, though unforeseen health events, abrupt resignation, or extraordinary legal developments could theoretically shift this.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,291,801 Vol.
$1,291,801 Vol.
31 mag 2026
$1,291,801 Vol.
$1,291,801 Vol.
31 mag 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump continues to actively exercise his executive duties, as evidenced by his White House press gaggles on May 12, signing of proclamations earlier this month, issuance of multiple executive orders in 2026, and departure yesterday for a high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, where he arrived today. Earlier April pushes by House Democrats for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment—stemming from heated Iran rhetoric—gained no traction amid Republican control of Congress, rendering Senate conviction or cabinet-led removal highly improbable. With only 18 days until May 31 resolution and no credible ongoing threats, traders price near-certainty at 99.4% he remains in office, though unforeseen health events, abrupt resignation, or extraordinary legal developments could theoretically shift this.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$1,291,801Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump continues to actively exercise his executive duties, as evidenced by his White House press gaggles on May 12, signing of proclamations earlier this month, issuance of multiple executive orders in 2026, and departure yesterday for a high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, where he arrived today. Earlier April pushes by House Democrats for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment—stemming from heated Iran rhetoric—gained no traction amid Republican control of Congress, rendering Senate conviction or cabinet-led removal highly improbable. With only 18 days until May 31 resolution and no credible ongoing threats, traders price near-certainty at 99.4% he remains in office, though unforeseen health events, abrupt resignation, or extraordinary legal developments could theoretically shift this.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,291,801Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump continues to actively exercise his executive duties, as evidenced by his White House press gaggles on May 12, signing of proclamations earlier this month, issuance of multiple executive orders in 2026, and departure yesterday for a high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, where he arrived today. Earlier April pushes by House Democrats for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment—stemming from heated Iran rhetoric—gained no traction amid Republican control of Congress, rendering Senate conviction or cabinet-led removal highly improbable. With only 18 days until May 31 resolution and no credible ongoing threats, traders price near-certainty at 99.4% he remains in office, though unforeseen health events, abrupt resignation, or extraordinary legal developments could theoretically shift this.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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