Trader consensus assigns an 89.5% implied probability to no hug at the Trump-Xi summit, reflecting strict Chinese diplomatic protocols that emphasize formal handshakes during state visits, as seen in Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, where he received a military honor guard, band, and youths' welcome from Vice President Han Zheng but no embrace from Xi Jinping. Past bilateral meetings, including the 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit and G20 encounters, featured only handshakes amid reserved Chinese leadership norms. Despite Trump's playful pre-trip remark about a "big, fat hug," the agenda—spanning trade tariffs, AI controls, Iran tensions, and nuclear issues—prioritizes substance over symbolism, with Xi maintaining a formal public demeanor. A surprise deviation would require an unprecedented gesture.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$69,748 Vol.
$69,748 Vol.
15 mag 2026
$69,748 Vol.
$69,748 Vol.
15 mag 2026
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Trader consensus assigns an 89.5% implied probability to no hug at the Trump-Xi summit, reflecting strict Chinese diplomatic protocols that emphasize formal handshakes during state visits, as seen in Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, where he received a military honor guard, band, and youths' welcome from Vice President Han Zheng but no embrace from Xi Jinping. Past bilateral meetings, including the 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit and G20 encounters, featured only handshakes amid reserved Chinese leadership norms. Despite Trump's playful pre-trip remark about a "big, fat hug," the agenda—spanning trade tariffs, AI controls, Iran tensions, and nuclear issues—prioritizes substance over symbolism, with Xi maintaining a formal public demeanor. A surprise deviation would require an unprecedented gesture.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$69,748Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Trader consensus assigns an 89.5% implied probability to no hug at the Trump-Xi summit, reflecting strict Chinese diplomatic protocols that emphasize formal handshakes during state visits, as seen in Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, where he received a military honor guard, band, and youths' welcome from Vice President Han Zheng but no embrace from Xi Jinping. Past bilateral meetings, including the 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit and G20 encounters, featured only handshakes amid reserved Chinese leadership norms. Despite Trump's playful pre-trip remark about a "big, fat hug," the agenda—spanning trade tariffs, AI controls, Iran tensions, and nuclear issues—prioritizes substance over symbolism, with Xi maintaining a formal public demeanor. A surprise deviation would require an unprecedented gesture.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Volume
$69,794Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns an 89.5% implied probability to no hug at the Trump-Xi summit, reflecting strict Chinese diplomatic protocols that emphasize formal handshakes during state visits, as seen in Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, where he received a military honor guard, band, and youths' welcome from Vice President Han Zheng but no embrace from Xi Jinping. Past bilateral meetings, including the 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit and G20 encounters, featured only handshakes amid reserved Chinese leadership norms. Despite Trump's playful pre-trip remark about a "big, fat hug," the agenda—spanning trade tariffs, AI controls, Iran tensions, and nuclear issues—prioritizes substance over symbolism, with Xi maintaining a formal public demeanor. A surprise deviation would require an unprecedented gesture.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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