President Trump's confirmed phone call with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on May 15, announced amid post-Beijing summit diplomacy and Iran tensions, anchors trader consensus toward near-certainty for that outcome, as credible reporting satisfies verbal interaction criteria by May 31 resolution. Elon Musk's high-profile attendance at the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing (May 13-15), including business talks alongside CEOs like Tim Cook, drives elevated probabilities for confirmed exchanges. French President Macron and Russian President Putin exceed 60% implied odds on expectations of Ukraine ceasefire follow-ups and NATO coordination, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy lags at 54% absent breakthroughs. Lower probabilities for Kim Jong Un or Nicolás Maduro reflect no scheduled diplomatic engagements, with G7 summit (June 15-17) outside the window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$708,306 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Friedrich Merz
100%
Elon Musk
97%
Emmanuel Macron
85%
Vladimir Putin
59%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
52%
Keir Starmer
34%
Mark Carney
28%
Mark Rutte
21%
Kim Jong Un
8%
Maria Corina Machado
6%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
6%
Papa Leone XIV
5%
Reza Pahlavi
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
$708,306 Vol.
Friedrich Merz
$73,996 Vol.
100%
Elon Musk
$55,714 Vol.
97%
Emmanuel Macron
$22,683 Vol.
85%
Vladimir Putin
$28,364 Vol.
59%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$24,689 Vol.
52%
Keir Starmer
$12,675 Vol.
34%
Mark Carney
$3,850 Vol.
28%
Mark Rutte
$7,354 Vol.
21%
Kim Jong Un
$12,096 Vol.
8%
Maria Corina Machado
$6,362 Vol.
6%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
$5,148 Vol.
6%
Papa Leone XIV
$18,905 Vol.
5%
Reza Pahlavi
$18,977 Vol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$11,729 Vol.
3%
Yoon Suk Yeol
$6,853 Vol.
1%
Nicolás Maduro
$26,675 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.President Trump's confirmed phone call with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on May 15, announced amid post-Beijing summit diplomacy and Iran tensions, anchors trader consensus toward near-certainty for that outcome, as credible reporting satisfies verbal interaction criteria by May 31 resolution. Elon Musk's high-profile attendance at the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing (May 13-15), including business talks alongside CEOs like Tim Cook, drives elevated probabilities for confirmed exchanges. French President Macron and Russian President Putin exceed 60% implied odds on expectations of Ukraine ceasefire follow-ups and NATO coordination, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy lags at 54% absent breakthroughs. Lower probabilities for Kim Jong Un or Nicolás Maduro reflect no scheduled diplomatic engagements, with G7 summit (June 15-17) outside the window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Volume
$708,306Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.President Trump's confirmed phone call with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on May 15, announced amid post-Beijing summit diplomacy and Iran tensions, anchors trader consensus toward near-certainty for that outcome, as credible reporting satisfies verbal interaction criteria by May 31 resolution. Elon Musk's high-profile attendance at the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing (May 13-15), including business talks alongside CEOs like Tim Cook, drives elevated probabilities for confirmed exchanges. French President Macron and Russian President Putin exceed 60% implied odds on expectations of Ukraine ceasefire follow-ups and NATO coordination, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy lags at 54% absent breakthroughs. Lower probabilities for Kim Jong Un or Nicolás Maduro reflect no scheduled diplomatic engagements, with G7 summit (June 15-17) outside the window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$708,306Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's confirmed phone call with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on May 15, announced amid post-Beijing summit diplomacy and Iran tensions, anchors trader consensus toward near-certainty for that outcome, as credible reporting satisfies verbal interaction criteria by May 31 resolution. Elon Musk's high-profile attendance at the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing (May 13-15), including business talks alongside CEOs like Tim Cook, drives elevated probabilities for confirmed exchanges. French President Macron and Russian President Putin exceed 60% implied odds on expectations of Ukraine ceasefire follow-ups and NATO coordination, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy lags at 54% absent breakthroughs. Lower probabilities for Kim Jong Un or Nicolás Maduro reflect no scheduled diplomatic engagements, with G7 summit (June 15-17) outside the window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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