The June 3 local elections for South Korea’s 17 metropolitan mayor and provincial governor posts remain tightly contested because the ruling Democratic Party benefits from its control of the presidency and National Assembly plus lingering voter backlash against the People Power Party over the 2024 martial law declaration, yet regional strongholds and recent candidate lineups limit DP gains. National polls show the DP ahead by roughly 15–20 points, but PPP incumbents and nominees in southeastern provinces such as Busan and Daegu continue to hold competitive positions, while DP primaries that replaced several sitting governors have introduced fresh but untested candidates in key swing areas like Gyeonggi and Incheon. With three weeks left, the race hinges on whether national sentiment over unresolved martial-law accountability outweighs local performance concerns and turnout differences in conservative-leaning districts, keeping trader focus on outcomes clustered between 11 and 13 DP victories.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
11 36.2%
13 34%
12 22%
14 16%
≤10
9%
11
36%
12
22%
13
26%
14
16%
15
5%
≥16
1%
11 36.2%
13 34%
12 22%
14 16%
≤10
9%
11
36%
12
22%
13
26%
14
16%
15
5%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 3 local elections for South Korea’s 17 metropolitan mayor and provincial governor posts remain tightly contested because the ruling Democratic Party benefits from its control of the presidency and National Assembly plus lingering voter backlash against the People Power Party over the 2024 martial law declaration, yet regional strongholds and recent candidate lineups limit DP gains. National polls show the DP ahead by roughly 15–20 points, but PPP incumbents and nominees in southeastern provinces such as Busan and Daegu continue to hold competitive positions, while DP primaries that replaced several sitting governors have introduced fresh but untested candidates in key swing areas like Gyeonggi and Incheon. With three weeks left, the race hinges on whether national sentiment over unresolved martial-law accountability outweighs local performance concerns and turnout differences in conservative-leaning districts, keeping trader focus on outcomes clustered between 11 and 13 DP victories.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti