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Elections·Main Election

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Elections·Main Election

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Željka Cvijanović 73%

Nebojša Vukanović 8%

Branko Blanuša 4.5%

Draško Stanivuković 4.3%

Polymarket

$21,288 Vol.

Željka Cvijanović 73%

Nebojša Vukanović 8%

Branko Blanuša 4.5%

Draško Stanivuković 4.3%

Polymarket

$21,288 Vol.

icon for Željka Cvijanović

Željka Cvijanović

$17,505 Vol.

73%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$1,024 Vol.

8%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$792 Vol.

5%

icon for Draško Stanivuković

Draško Stanivuković

$667 Vol.

4%

icon for Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan

$1,300 Vol.

1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the Serb seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite presidency ahead of the 4 October 2026 general election, reflecting SNSD’s entrenched institutional control in Republika Srpska following ally Siniša Karan’s narrow victories in the November 2025 and February 2026 snap RS presidential contests after Milorad Dodik’s legal removal. This consolidation supplies the incumbent Serb presidency member with superior organizational reach, candidate selection leverage, and voter mobilization capacity across RS municipalities. Opposition figures such as Nebojša Vukanović, Draško Stanivuković, and Branko Blanuša remain in single digits because of vote fragmentation across smaller parties and restricted access to entity-level resources, while Siniša Karan registers only marginal interest. The October ballot and continued SNSD dominance constitute the principal variables that could still influence final probabilities.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,288
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the Serb seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite presidency ahead of the 4 October 2026 general election, reflecting SNSD’s entrenched institutional control in Republika Srpska following ally Siniša Karan’s narrow victories in the November 2025 and February 2026 snap RS presidential contests after Milorad Dodik’s legal removal. This consolidation supplies the incumbent Serb presidency member with superior organizational reach, candidate selection leverage, and voter mobilization capacity across RS municipalities. Opposition figures such as Nebojša Vukanović, Draško Stanivuković, and Branko Blanuša remain in single digits because of vote fragmentation across smaller parties and restricted access to entity-level resources, while Siniša Karan registers only marginal interest. The October ballot and continued SNSD dominance constitute the principal variables that could still influence final probabilities.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,288
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Željka Cvijanović" a 73%, seguito da "Nebojša Vukanović" a 8%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 73¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 73% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" ha generato $21.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 12, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" è "Željka Cvijanović" a 73%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 73% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nebojša Vukanović" a 8%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.