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Politics·São Tomé And Príncipe

São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

icon for São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner
Politics·São Tomé And Príncipe

São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

Elsa Pinto 45%

Carlos Vila Nova 45%

Nino Monteiro 44%

Jorge Bom Jesus 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Elsa Pinto 45%

Carlos Vila Nova 45%

Nino Monteiro 44%

Jorge Bom Jesus 44%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Elsa Pinto

Elsa Pinto

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Carlos Vila Nova

Carlos Vila Nova

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Nino Monteiro

Nino Monteiro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Jorge Bom Jesus

Jorge Bom Jesus

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Nito Abreu

Nito Abreu

$0 Vol.

43%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.The São Tomé and Príncipe presidential race remains tightly balanced ahead of the July 19 first round because a crowded field of candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova of the ADI party, is expected to fragment the vote in a two-round system that requires an outright majority. Recent constitutional disputes over cabinet changes and institutional tensions have added uncertainty without consolidating support behind any single contender. Traders see limited separation as opposition figures such as Nito Abreu, Jorge Bom Jesus, and others compete for similar voter bases ahead of September legislative elections. Clearer polling trends, formal alliances, or last-minute candidate withdrawals could shift implied probabilities, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner keeps first-round odds compressed across multiple outcomes.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
19 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.The São Tomé and Príncipe presidential race remains tightly balanced ahead of the July 19 first round because a crowded field of candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova of the ADI party, is expected to fragment the vote in a two-round system that requires an outright majority. Recent constitutional disputes over cabinet changes and institutional tensions have added uncertainty without consolidating support behind any single contender. Traders see limited separation as opposition figures such as Nito Abreu, Jorge Bom Jesus, and others compete for similar voter bases ahead of September legislative elections. Clearer polling trends, formal alliances, or last-minute candidate withdrawals could shift implied probabilities, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner keeps first-round odds compressed across multiple outcomes.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
19 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.

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"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Elsa Pinto" a 45%, seguito da "Carlos Vila Nova" a 45%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 2, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" è "Elsa Pinto" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Carlos Vila Nova" a 45%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.