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Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore del 1° turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Colombia?

icon for Vincitore del 1° turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Colombia?
Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore del 1° turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Colombia?

Iván Cepeda Castro 85%

Abelardo de la Espriella 14.6%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Vicky Dávila <1%

Polymarket

$5,913,412 Vol.

Iván Cepeda Castro 85%

Abelardo de la Espriella 14.6%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Vicky Dávila <1%

Polymarket

$5,913,412 Vol.

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$517,925 Vol.

85%

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,024,843 Vol.

15%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$567,456 Vol.

1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$439,750 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$298,122 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$300,293 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$283,057 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$156,932 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$229,484 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$209,235 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$235,184 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$287,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$285,258 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$256,692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$144,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$335,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$305,336 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro’s dominant position in the first-round market stems from his consistent lead in recent polls, where he holds 36–44% support as the Historic Pact nominee continuing President Gustavo Petro’s agenda on peace negotiations, tax reform, and rural policy. With the May 31 vote only weeks away and thirteen candidates on the ballot, the fragmented opposition has failed to consolidate behind any single rival. Abelardo de la Espriella, polling around 21–23%, and Paloma Valencia, at 13–20%, split right-leaning and center-right voters, leaving neither positioned to overtake Cepeda. Recent pre-election violence, including attacks on campaign sites, has raised security concerns but has not altered the polling hierarchy or boosted alternatives. Late undecided voters and potential last-minute alliances remain the primary variables that could still influence the final first-round ordering.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$5,913,412
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro’s dominant position in the first-round market stems from his consistent lead in recent polls, where he holds 36–44% support as the Historic Pact nominee continuing President Gustavo Petro’s agenda on peace negotiations, tax reform, and rural policy. With the May 31 vote only weeks away and thirteen candidates on the ballot, the fragmented opposition has failed to consolidate behind any single rival. Abelardo de la Espriella, polling around 21–23%, and Paloma Valencia, at 13–20%, split right-leaning and center-right voters, leaving neither positioned to overtake Cepeda. Recent pre-election violence, including attacks on campaign sites, has raised security concerns but has not altered the polling hierarchy or boosted alternatives. Late undecided voters and potential last-minute alliances remain the primary variables that could still influence the final first-round ordering.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$5,913,412
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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" Vincitore del 1° turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Colombia?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 18 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Iván Cepeda Castro" a 85%, seguito da "Abelardo de la Espriella" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 85¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 85% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, " Vincitore del 1° turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Colombia?" ha generato $5.9 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 23, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su " Vincitore del 1° turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Colombia?", esplora i 18 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per " Vincitore del 1° turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Colombia?" è "Iván Cepeda Castro" a 85%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 85% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Abelardo de la Espriella" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per " Vincitore del 1° turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Colombia?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.