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Politica·Elezioni Globali

Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia

icon for Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia

Abelardo de la Espriella 45%

Iván Cepeda Castro 39%

Paloma Valencia 17.8%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB) <1%

Polymarket

$28,704,721 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella 45%

Iván Cepeda Castro 39%

Paloma Valencia 17.8%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB) <1%

Polymarket

$28,704,721 Vol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,103,257 Vol.

45%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$960,989 Vol.

39%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$1,165,970 Vol.

18%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$1,736,323 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López (IND)

Claudia López (IND)

$1,099,408 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo (DC)

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$1,719,504 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$1,039,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Felipe Córdoba

Carlos Felipe Córdoba

$582,624 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila (IND)

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$2,852,761 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez (IND)

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$1,739,061 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$1,517,246 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$5,750,845 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$708,113 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$1,781,495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$2,493,805 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$694,239 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$1,305,568 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$430,214 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Candidate M a narrow favorite at 49.5¢ ahead of Abelardo de la Espriella at 44.5¢ for Colombia's presidential win, with Iván Cepeda Castro at 38.5¢ reflecting a fragmented field likely headed to a June 21 runoff after the May 31 first round. Recent Atlas Intel (late April) and Yanhaas tracking (early May) polls show Cepeda leading first-round voting at 35-38%, but de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia gaining amid right-wing momentum from post-March 8 parliamentary primaries and ex-military endorsements criticizing incumbent Gustavo Petro's security record. The right's vote split keeps odds tight, while undecided voters (over 20% in some surveys) and regional turnout in battlegrounds like Antioquia could tip balances; market odds diverge bullishly from polls favoring Cepeda's first-round edge, betting on runoff consolidation.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$28,704,721
Data di fine
21 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Candidate M a narrow favorite at 49.5¢ ahead of Abelardo de la Espriella at 44.5¢ for Colombia's presidential win, with Iván Cepeda Castro at 38.5¢ reflecting a fragmented field likely headed to a June 21 runoff after the May 31 first round. Recent Atlas Intel (late April) and Yanhaas tracking (early May) polls show Cepeda leading first-round voting at 35-38%, but de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia gaining amid right-wing momentum from post-March 8 parliamentary primaries and ex-military endorsements criticizing incumbent Gustavo Petro's security record. The right's vote split keeps odds tight, while undecided voters (over 20% in some surveys) and regional turnout in battlegrounds like Antioquia could tip balances; market odds diverge bullishly from polls favoring Cepeda's first-round edge, betting on runoff consolidation.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$28,704,721
Data di fine
21 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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"Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 19 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Abelardo de la Espriella" a 45%, seguito da "Iván Cepeda Castro" a 39%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia" ha generato $28.7 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 29, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia", esplora i 19 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia" è "Abelardo de la Espriella" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Iván Cepeda Castro" a 39%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.