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Mondo·Australia

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Mondo·Australia

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Candidate E 100%

Candidate F 100%

Candidate K 100%

Other 100%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Candidate E 100%

Candidate F 100%

Candidate K 100%

Other 100%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Candidate E

$0 Vol.

100%

Candidate F

$0 Vol.

100%

Candidate K

$0 Vol.

100%

Other

$0 Vol.

100%

Candidate B

$0 Vol.

99%

Candidate H

$0 Vol.

99%

Candidate J

$0 Vol.

99%

Candidate A

$0 Vol.

99%

Candidate I

$0 Vol.

99%

Candidate C

$0 Vol.

99%

Candidate D

$0 Vol.

99%

Angus Taylor

$0 Vol.

80%

Robbie Katter

$0 Vol.

80%

Pauline Hanson

$0 Vol.

44%

Larissa Waters

$0 Vol.

43%

Anthony Albanese

$0 Vol.

41%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australia's next federal election remains years away, scheduled no later than 2028, leaving ample time for shifts in party leadership, polling trends, and economic conditions. Anthony Albanese, the incumbent Labor prime minister who secured re-election in 2025 with an expanded majority, and Angus Taylor, the current Liberal opposition leader, sit among several listed contenders at comparable levels around 40 percent. The preferential voting system in the House of Representatives, combined with the potential for minor parties and independents to influence outcomes, sustains broad uncertainty reflected in the dispersed probabilities. Leadership spills, primary challenges within the Coalition, or emerging figures from One Nation or the Greens could alter trajectories before nominations close.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
23 set 2028
Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australia's next federal election remains years away, scheduled no later than 2028, leaving ample time for shifts in party leadership, polling trends, and economic conditions. Anthony Albanese, the incumbent Labor prime minister who secured re-election in 2025 with an expanded majority, and Angus Taylor, the current Liberal opposition leader, sit among several listed contenders at comparable levels around 40 percent. The preferential voting system in the House of Representatives, combined with the potential for minor parties and independents to influence outcomes, sustains broad uncertainty reflected in the dispersed probabilities. Leadership spills, primary challenges within the Coalition, or emerging figures from One Nation or the Greens could alter trajectories before nominations close.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
23 set 2028
Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 16 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Candidate E" a 50%, seguito da "Candidate F" a 50%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 50¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 10, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? ", esplora i 16 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " è "Candidate E" a 50%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Candidate F" a 50%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? " definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.