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icon for Presidente dell'Andalusia dopo le elezioni?
Elezioni·Spagna

Presidente dell'Andalusia dopo le elezioni?

icon for Presidente dell'Andalusia dopo le elezioni?
Elezioni·Spagna

Presidente dell'Andalusia dopo le elezioni?

Juanma Moreno 98.0%

María Jesús Montero <1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket

$188,677 Vol.

Juanma Moreno 98.0%

María Jesús Montero <1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket

$188,677 Vol.

icon for Juanma Moreno

Juanma Moreno

$14,719 Vol.

98%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$11,184 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Gavira

Manuel Gavira

$6,370 Vol.

<1%

icon for Antonio Maíllo

Antonio Maíllo

$151,793 Vol.

1%

icon for José Ignacio García

José Ignacio García

$4,611 Vol.

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juanma Moreno’s commanding position in trader pricing stems from the People’s Party’s victory in the May 2026 Andalusian regional election, where his list secured the largest seat total despite falling narrowly short of an absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament. As incumbent regional president and leader of the moderate wing of the PP, Moreno benefits from established governing record and voter preference for continuity over opposition alternatives such as PSOE’s María Jesús Montero or smaller-party candidates. The resulting seat distribution leaves limited realistic paths for any other figure to assemble a governing coalition. Late shifts remain possible only through prolonged deadlock in investiture votes or unexpected realignments among Vox or left-leaning groups, though historical patterns in Spanish regional politics favor the largest party’s candidate retaining the presidency.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$188,677
Data di fine
17 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juanma Moreno’s commanding position in trader pricing stems from the People’s Party’s victory in the May 2026 Andalusian regional election, where his list secured the largest seat total despite falling narrowly short of an absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament. As incumbent regional president and leader of the moderate wing of the PP, Moreno benefits from established governing record and voter preference for continuity over opposition alternatives such as PSOE’s María Jesús Montero or smaller-party candidates. The resulting seat distribution leaves limited realistic paths for any other figure to assemble a governing coalition. Late shifts remain possible only through prolonged deadlock in investiture votes or unexpected realignments among Vox or left-leaning groups, though historical patterns in Spanish regional politics favor the largest party’s candidate retaining the presidency.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$188,677
Data di fine
17 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Presidente dell'Andalusia dopo le elezioni?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Juanma Moreno" a 98%, seguito da "Antonio Maíllo" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Presidente dell'Andalusia dopo le elezioni?" ha generato $188.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 16, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Presidente dell'Andalusia dopo le elezioni?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Presidente dell'Andalusia dopo le elezioni?" è "Juanma Moreno" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Antonio Maíllo" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Presidente dell'Andalusia dopo le elezioni?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.