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icon for Il prossimo presidente bosniaco della Bosnia-Erzegovina?
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Il prossimo presidente bosniaco della Bosnia-Erzegovina?

icon for Il prossimo presidente bosniaco della Bosnia-Erzegovina?
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Il prossimo presidente bosniaco della Bosnia-Erzegovina?

Denis Bećirović 67%

Bakir Izetbegović 29%

Semir Efendić <1%

Polymarket

$53,467 Vol.

Denis Bećirović 67%

Bakir Izetbegović 29%

Semir Efendić <1%

Polymarket

$53,467 Vol.

icon for Denis Bećirović

Denis Bećirović

$29,526 Vol.

67%

icon for Bakir Izetbegović

Bakir Izetbegović

$16,369 Vol.

29%

icon for Semir Efendić

Semir Efendić

$7,572 Vol.

1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović leads the market at 67% as the incumbent Bosniak Presidency member seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, backed by a 14-party alliance including the SDP and smaller reform-oriented groups that secured his 2022 victory. Bakir Izetbegović trails at 29% as the SDA leader and two-term former member mounting a rematch, drawing on that party's traditional Bosniak base but facing the same structural challenges that produced his earlier defeat. Semir Efendić registers under 1% as a late entrant from the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina whose candidacy may fragment opposition votes without threatening the frontrunners. Trader positioning reflects Bećirović's incumbency advantage, broad coalition breadth, and recent diplomatic visibility, including his September 2026 UN engagement, against Izetbegović's narrower party appeal ahead of the Federation-wide vote.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,467
Data di fine
1 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović leads the market at 67% as the incumbent Bosniak Presidency member seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, backed by a 14-party alliance including the SDP and smaller reform-oriented groups that secured his 2022 victory. Bakir Izetbegović trails at 29% as the SDA leader and two-term former member mounting a rematch, drawing on that party's traditional Bosniak base but facing the same structural challenges that produced his earlier defeat. Semir Efendić registers under 1% as a late entrant from the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina whose candidacy may fragment opposition votes without threatening the frontrunners. Trader positioning reflects Bećirović's incumbency advantage, broad coalition breadth, and recent diplomatic visibility, including his September 2026 UN engagement, against Izetbegović's narrower party appeal ahead of the Federation-wide vote.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,467
Data di fine
1 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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Darijana Filipović sarà il membro croato della Presidenza della Bosnia ed Erzegovina dopo le elezioni generali del 2026?

64%
Sì
icon for Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

87%
icon for Savo Minić vincerà le elezioni presidenziali della Repubblica Srpska del 2026?

Savo Minić vincerà le elezioni presidenziali della Repubblica Srpska del 2026?

60%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo presidente bosniaco della Bosnia-Erzegovina?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Denis Bećirović" a 67%, seguito da "Bakir Izetbegović" a 29%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 67¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 67% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo presidente bosniaco della Bosnia-Erzegovina?" ha generato $53.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 12, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo presidente bosniaco della Bosnia-Erzegovina?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo presidente bosniaco della Bosnia-Erzegovina?" è "Denis Bećirović" a 67%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 67% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Bakir Izetbegović" a 29%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo presidente bosniaco della Bosnia-Erzegovina?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.