**United Russia holds a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election, with early official counts and partial results placing its party-list share near 57 percent after roughly a quarter of ballots processed.** The three-day vote, held September 18–20 across Russia’s regions and annexed Ukrainian territories, features a tightly managed process that excludes most independent or anti-war candidates, including the Yabloko party list. State-aligned parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia trail far behind but remain on the ballot. Kremlin messaging frames the contest as a demonstration of unity behind the war effort, while turnout exceeds 56 percent. Traders’ strong consensus on a 55–60 percent outcome reflects these structural controls, consistent preliminary data, and the absence of credible challengers that could meaningfully alter the result before final certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato55-60% 86%
60%+ 9.2%
50-55% 7%
45-50% <1%
NUOVO
$31,146 Vol.
NUOVO
$31,146 Vol.
31 ott 2026
<40%
<1%
40-45%
<1%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
7%
55-60%
86%
60%+
9%
55-60% 86%
60%+ 9.2%
50-55% 7%
45-50% <1%
NUOVO
$31,146 Vol.
NUOVO
$31,146 Vol.
31 ott 2026
<40%
$146 Vol.
<1%
40-45%
$578 Vol.
<1%
45-50%
$5,230 Vol.
1%
50-55%
$7,441 Vol.
7%
55-60%
$4,839 Vol.
86%
60%+
$12,913 Vol.
9%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**United Russia holds a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election, with early official counts and partial results placing its party-list share near 57 percent after roughly a quarter of ballots processed.** The three-day vote, held September 18–20 across Russia’s regions and annexed Ukrainian territories, features a tightly managed process that excludes most independent or anti-war candidates, including the Yabloko party list. State-aligned parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia trail far behind but remain on the ballot. Kremlin messaging frames the contest as a demonstration of unity behind the war effort, while turnout exceeds 56 percent. Traders’ strong consensus on a 55–60 percent outcome reflects these structural controls, consistent preliminary data, and the absence of credible challengers that could meaningfully alter the result before final certification.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$31,146Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.**United Russia holds a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election, with early official counts and partial results placing its party-list share near 57 percent after roughly a quarter of ballots processed.** The three-day vote, held September 18–20 across Russia’s regions and annexed Ukrainian territories, features a tightly managed process that excludes most independent or anti-war candidates, including the Yabloko party list. State-aligned parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia trail far behind but remain on the ballot. Kremlin messaging frames the contest as a demonstration of unity behind the war effort, while turnout exceeds 56 percent. Traders’ strong consensus on a 55–60 percent outcome reflects these structural controls, consistent preliminary data, and the absence of credible challengers that could meaningfully alter the result before final certification.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$31,146Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**United Russia holds a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election, with early official counts and partial results placing its party-list share near 57 percent after roughly a quarter of ballots processed.** The three-day vote, held September 18–20 across Russia’s regions and annexed Ukrainian territories, features a tightly managed process that excludes most independent or anti-war candidates, including the Yabloko party list. State-aligned parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia trail far behind but remain on the ballot. Kremlin messaging frames the contest as a demonstration of unity behind the war effort, while turnout exceeds 56 percent. Traders’ strong consensus on a 55–60 percent outcome reflects these structural controls, consistent preliminary data, and the absence of credible challengers that could meaningfully alter the result before final certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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