Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections occur amid administrative mobilization efforts, including directives to public-sector workers and students, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and recruitment of war veterans as candidates and observers. Kremlin targets remain centered on roughly 50% turnout to demonstrate legitimacy for United Russia while adjusting vote-share goals downward amid softer polling and economic pressures. State pollsters such as VTsIOM report self-declared participation intentions near 62%, yet overall awareness stays low and independent surveys show persistent apathy. These offsetting forces—coordinated turnout drives versus subdued public engagement—keep implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 50% range. Stronger regional enforcement or unexpected opposition activity could push outcomes higher or lower before voting begins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 32%
53-56% 31.0%
59-62% 11.8%
56-59% 10.5%
$48,042 Vol.
$48,042 Vol.
19 set 2026
<47%
3%
47-50%
9%
50-53%
32%
53-56%
30%
56-59%
11%
59-62%
12%
62%+
10%
50-53% 32%
53-56% 31.0%
59-62% 11.8%
56-59% 10.5%
$48,042 Vol.
$48,042 Vol.
19 set 2026
<47%
$1,886 Vol.
3%
47-50%
$5,567 Vol.
9%
50-53%
$4,499 Vol.
32%
53-56%
$3,041 Vol.
30%
56-59%
$6,045 Vol.
11%
59-62%
$4,792 Vol.
12%
62%+
$22,212 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections occur amid administrative mobilization efforts, including directives to public-sector workers and students, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and recruitment of war veterans as candidates and observers. Kremlin targets remain centered on roughly 50% turnout to demonstrate legitimacy for United Russia while adjusting vote-share goals downward amid softer polling and economic pressures. State pollsters such as VTsIOM report self-declared participation intentions near 62%, yet overall awareness stays low and independent surveys show persistent apathy. These offsetting forces—coordinated turnout drives versus subdued public engagement—keep implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 50% range. Stronger regional enforcement or unexpected opposition activity could push outcomes higher or lower before voting begins.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Mercato aperto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$48,042Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections occur amid administrative mobilization efforts, including directives to public-sector workers and students, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and recruitment of war veterans as candidates and observers. Kremlin targets remain centered on roughly 50% turnout to demonstrate legitimacy for United Russia while adjusting vote-share goals downward amid softer polling and economic pressures. State pollsters such as VTsIOM report self-declared participation intentions near 62%, yet overall awareness stays low and independent surveys show persistent apathy. These offsetting forces—coordinated turnout drives versus subdued public engagement—keep implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 50% range. Stronger regional enforcement or unexpected opposition activity could push outcomes higher or lower before voting begins.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$48,042Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia’s September 2026 State Duma elections occur amid administrative mobilization efforts, including directives to public-sector workers and students, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and recruitment of war veterans as candidates and observers. Kremlin targets remain centered on roughly 50% turnout to demonstrate legitimacy for United Russia while adjusting vote-share goals downward amid softer polling and economic pressures. State pollsters such as VTsIOM report self-declared participation intentions near 62%, yet overall awareness stays low and independent surveys show persistent apathy. These offsetting forces—coordinated turnout drives versus subdued public engagement—keep implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 50% range. Stronger regional enforcement or unexpected opposition activity could push outcomes higher or lower before voting begins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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