Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma election occurs amid wartime economic pressures, fuel shortages, and Ukrainian strikes that prompted the Kremlin to lower its turnout target from 50 percent. The 2021 benchmark of 51.58 percent, combined with expanded remote electronic voting across 32 regions and three-day balloting, supports the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 50–56 percent brackets. Limited state-media coverage, modest public engagement shown in recent polls, and variable regional mobilization efforts have kept outcomes closely contested. Separation could emerge from the scale of public-sector or overseas participation, final DEG registration numbers, or any late adjustments in administrative push in key regions before voting concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 28.3%
50-53% 24%
59-62% 11.3%
47-50% 11%
$53,417 Vol.
$53,417 Vol.
19 set 2026
<47%
1%
47-50%
11%
50-53%
24%
53-56%
28%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
53-56% 28.3%
50-53% 24%
59-62% 11.3%
47-50% 11%
$53,417 Vol.
$53,417 Vol.
19 set 2026
<47%
$2,301 Vol.
1%
47-50%
$6,437 Vol.
11%
50-53%
$5,379 Vol.
24%
53-56%
$3,318 Vol.
28%
56-59%
$6,220 Vol.
9%
59-62%
$5,236 Vol.
11%
62%+
$24,527 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma election occurs amid wartime economic pressures, fuel shortages, and Ukrainian strikes that prompted the Kremlin to lower its turnout target from 50 percent. The 2021 benchmark of 51.58 percent, combined with expanded remote electronic voting across 32 regions and three-day balloting, supports the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 50–56 percent brackets. Limited state-media coverage, modest public engagement shown in recent polls, and variable regional mobilization efforts have kept outcomes closely contested. Separation could emerge from the scale of public-sector or overseas participation, final DEG registration numbers, or any late adjustments in administrative push in key regions before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Mercato aperto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$53,417Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma election occurs amid wartime economic pressures, fuel shortages, and Ukrainian strikes that prompted the Kremlin to lower its turnout target from 50 percent. The 2021 benchmark of 51.58 percent, combined with expanded remote electronic voting across 32 regions and three-day balloting, supports the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 50–56 percent brackets. Limited state-media coverage, modest public engagement shown in recent polls, and variable regional mobilization efforts have kept outcomes closely contested. Separation could emerge from the scale of public-sector or overseas participation, final DEG registration numbers, or any late adjustments in administrative push in key regions before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$53,417Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma election occurs amid wartime economic pressures, fuel shortages, and Ukrainian strikes that prompted the Kremlin to lower its turnout target from 50 percent. The 2021 benchmark of 51.58 percent, combined with expanded remote electronic voting across 32 regions and three-day balloting, supports the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 50–56 percent brackets. Limited state-media coverage, modest public engagement shown in recent polls, and variable regional mobilization efforts have kept outcomes closely contested. Separation could emerge from the scale of public-sector or overseas participation, final DEG registration numbers, or any late adjustments in administrative push in key regions before voting concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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