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Finanza·Business

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finanza·Business

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$87,667 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$87,667 Vol.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$14,432 Vol.

14%

Frontier Airlines

$29,619 Vol.

22%

Allegiant

$19,356 Vol.

3%

American Airlines

$7,095 Vol.

8%

Alaska Airlines

$17,164 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel prices at $4.13 per gallon as of May 12—driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions—have amplified bankruptcy risks for cash-strapped low-cost carriers, following Spirit Airlines' operational shutdown on May 2 after repeated restructurings. Polymarket trader consensus prices Frontier Airlines' bankruptcy announcement by year-end at 47¢ implied odds, reflecting its Q1 adjusted net loss of $68 million and $974 million liquidity amid reduced competition boosting unit revenue projections over 20% in Q2. JetBlue follows at 13.7¢, supported by $2.4 billion liquidity despite $755 million 2026 debt maturities and Q1 $319 million loss; American Airlines' odds sit at 8¢ with robust $10.8 billion liquidity offsetting $34.7 billion debt. Q2 earnings in July and potential fuel price relief remain key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$87,667
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging jet fuel prices at $4.13 per gallon as of May 12—driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions—have amplified bankruptcy risks for cash-strapped low-cost carriers, following Spirit Airlines' operational shutdown on May 2 after repeated restructurings. Polymarket trader consensus prices Frontier Airlines' bankruptcy announcement by year-end at 47¢ implied odds, reflecting its Q1 adjusted net loss of $68 million and $974 million liquidity amid reduced competition boosting unit revenue projections over 20% in Q2. JetBlue follows at 13.7¢, supported by $2.4 billion liquidity despite $755 million 2026 debt maturities and Q1 $319 million loss; American Airlines' odds sit at 8¢ with robust $10.8 billion liquidity offsetting $34.7 billion debt. Q2 earnings in July and potential fuel price relief remain key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$87,667
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Frontier Airlines" a 22%, seguito da "JetBlue" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 22¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 22% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" ha generato $87.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" è "Frontier Airlines" a 22%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 22% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "JetBlue" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.