Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.5% on Trump insulting Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) by May 15, driven by the market's imminent resolution tomorrow and absence of any negative public statements from Trump targeting MBS in recent weeks. A crude March remark at a Saudi-backed Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami sparked backlash but predates the market window; since then, Trump has praised Saudi cooperation amid the Iran conflict, noting recent talks and their support against Tehran while criticizing NATO. With bilateral diplomacy critical for oil stability, OPEC coordination, and regional security, traders see negligible risk of a last-minute Truth Social post, interview, or off-the-cuff attack—barring unforeseen escalation or personal slight—sustaining high confidence in no insult.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill Trump insult MBS by May 15?
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?
$23,646 Vol.
$23,646 Vol.
15 mag 2026
$23,646 Vol.
$23,646 Vol.
15 mag 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.5% on Trump insulting Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) by May 15, driven by the market's imminent resolution tomorrow and absence of any negative public statements from Trump targeting MBS in recent weeks. A crude March remark at a Saudi-backed Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami sparked backlash but predates the market window; since then, Trump has praised Saudi cooperation amid the Iran conflict, noting recent talks and their support against Tehran while criticizing NATO. With bilateral diplomacy critical for oil stability, OPEC coordination, and regional security, traders see negligible risk of a last-minute Truth Social post, interview, or off-the-cuff attack—barring unforeseen escalation or personal slight—sustaining high confidence in no insult.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Volume
$23,646Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.5% on Trump insulting Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) by May 15, driven by the market's imminent resolution tomorrow and absence of any negative public statements from Trump targeting MBS in recent weeks. A crude March remark at a Saudi-backed Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami sparked backlash but predates the market window; since then, Trump has praised Saudi cooperation amid the Iran conflict, noting recent talks and their support against Tehran while criticizing NATO. With bilateral diplomacy critical for oil stability, OPEC coordination, and regional security, traders see negligible risk of a last-minute Truth Social post, interview, or off-the-cuff attack—barring unforeseen escalation or personal slight—sustaining high confidence in no insult.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$23,646Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.5% on Trump insulting Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) by May 15, driven by the market's imminent resolution tomorrow and absence of any negative public statements from Trump targeting MBS in recent weeks. A crude March remark at a Saudi-backed Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami sparked backlash but predates the market window; since then, Trump has praised Saudi cooperation amid the Iran conflict, noting recent talks and their support against Tehran while criticizing NATO. With bilateral diplomacy critical for oil stability, OPEC coordination, and regional security, traders see negligible risk of a last-minute Truth Social post, interview, or off-the-cuff attack—barring unforeseen escalation or personal slight—sustaining high confidence in no insult.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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