Iran maintains its longstanding position that uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable sovereign right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, with no public signals of willingness to end the activity by the May 31 deadline. Recent indirect talks mediated through Pakistan and Oman have stalled after the United States rejected Iranian counteroffers for shorter moratorium periods or limited curbs while Tehran pushed back against demands for a 20-year freeze or stockpile removal. Iranian officials continue reviewing proposals without committing to cessation, and IAEA reports confirm ongoing expansion of near-weapons-grade stockpiles. This impasse, reinforced by recent threats of higher enrichment levels amid ceasefire strains, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 31 maggio?
L'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 31 maggio?
Sì
$614,586 Vol.
$614,586 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Sì
$614,586 Vol.
$614,586 Vol.
31 mag 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains its longstanding position that uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable sovereign right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, with no public signals of willingness to end the activity by the May 31 deadline. Recent indirect talks mediated through Pakistan and Oman have stalled after the United States rejected Iranian counteroffers for shorter moratorium periods or limited curbs while Tehran pushed back against demands for a 20-year freeze or stockpile removal. Iranian officials continue reviewing proposals without committing to cessation, and IAEA reports confirm ongoing expansion of near-weapons-grade stockpiles. This impasse, reinforced by recent threats of higher enrichment levels amid ceasefire strains, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volume
$614,586Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran maintains its longstanding position that uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable sovereign right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, with no public signals of willingness to end the activity by the May 31 deadline. Recent indirect talks mediated through Pakistan and Oman have stalled after the United States rejected Iranian counteroffers for shorter moratorium periods or limited curbs while Tehran pushed back against demands for a 20-year freeze or stockpile removal. Iranian officials continue reviewing proposals without committing to cessation, and IAEA reports confirm ongoing expansion of near-weapons-grade stockpiles. This impasse, reinforced by recent threats of higher enrichment levels amid ceasefire strains, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$614,586Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains its longstanding position that uranium enrichment remains a non-negotiable sovereign right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, with no public signals of willingness to end the activity by the May 31 deadline. Recent indirect talks mediated through Pakistan and Oman have stalled after the United States rejected Iranian counteroffers for shorter moratorium periods or limited curbs while Tehran pushed back against demands for a 20-year freeze or stockpile removal. Iranian officials continue reviewing proposals without committing to cessation, and IAEA reports confirm ongoing expansion of near-weapons-grade stockpiles. This impasse, reinforced by recent threats of higher enrichment levels amid ceasefire strains, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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