Iran’s presidential terms last four years, with the most recent contest in 2024 installing Masoud Pezeshkian following Ebrahim Raisi’s death; the next regularly scheduled vote is therefore 2028. Early balloting occurs only under narrow constitutional triggers such as the incumbent’s death or resignation, none of which are currently present. The February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced rapid leadership continuity but no parallel decision to accelerate presidential elections. The Guardian Council’s candidate-vetting role and historically low turnout further shape the institutional context, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of imminent procedural or political catalysts that would force a vote before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Iran terrà elezioni presidenziali entro...?
$767,367 Vol.
31 dicembre
6%
$767,367 Vol.
31 dicembre
6%
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s presidential terms last four years, with the most recent contest in 2024 installing Masoud Pezeshkian following Ebrahim Raisi’s death; the next regularly scheduled vote is therefore 2028. Early balloting occurs only under narrow constitutional triggers such as the incumbent’s death or resignation, none of which are currently present. The February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the March selection of Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts produced rapid leadership continuity but no parallel decision to accelerate presidential elections. The Guardian Council’s candidate-vetting role and historically low turnout further shape the institutional context, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of imminent procedural or political catalysts that would force a vote before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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