Iran's constitutional rules trigger a presidential election within 50 days only after the death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity of the sitting president, with the Guardian Council naming an interim leader in such cases. No such vacancy has arisen since Masoud Pezeshkian took office following the 2024 contest, and his public schedule continues without interruption. The standard four-year cycle points to the next vote well after June 30, leaving traders with near-certain consensus against an early contest. A sudden leadership change before the resolution date remains the sole realistic development that could reopen the possibility of an election within the timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Iran terrà elezioni presidenziali entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$697,982 Vol.
$697,982 Vol.
Sì
$697,982 Vol.
$697,982 Vol.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's constitutional rules trigger a presidential election within 50 days only after the death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity of the sitting president, with the Guardian Council naming an interim leader in such cases. No such vacancy has arisen since Masoud Pezeshkian took office following the 2024 contest, and his public schedule continues without interruption. The standard four-year cycle points to the next vote well after June 30, leaving traders with near-certain consensus against an early contest. A sudden leadership change before the resolution date remains the sole realistic development that could reopen the possibility of an election within the timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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