This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s governing coalition, facing internal strain over legislation exempting ultra-Orthodox men from military service, submitted a bill on May 13, 2026, to dissolve the 25th Knesset and call early elections. Coalition leaders, including Likud and Haredi parties, advanced the measure to regain control of the electoral timetable ahead of opposition proposals, with a preliminary vote expected the following week. Passage would automatically trigger elections no earlier than 90 days later, potentially in late August or by late October. The move reflects coalition fractures that have intensified in recent weeks, as Haredi factions threatened to withhold support unless draft exemptions are secured, creating a narrow window for lawmakers to finalize dissolution before scheduled procedural deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Israel’s governing coalition, facing internal strain over legislation exempting ultra-Orthodox men from military service, submitted a bill on May 13, 2026, to dissolve the 25th Knesset and call early elections. Coalition leaders, including Likud and Haredi parties, advanced the measure to regain control of the electoral timetable ahead of opposition proposals, with a preliminary vote expected the following week. Passage would automatically trigger elections no earlier than 90 days later, potentially in late August or by late October. The move reflects coalition fractures that have intensified in recent weeks, as Haredi factions threatened to withhold support unless draft exemptions are secured, creating a narrow window for lawmakers to finalize dissolution before scheduled procedural deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 13 2026
Limited travel through Rafah crossing resumes amid ceasefire talks
The partial reopening of the Rafah crossing was interpreted as progress in the ceasefire’s second phase, reducing urgency for a political reset and causing the market’s May‑31 probability to fall while the June‑30 outlook rose sharply.
May 12 2026
Netanyahu faces internal coalition pressure over Gaza Board of Peace
June 30 surges to 48%31%
Internal coalition divisions regarding the U.S.-led Board of Peace and the future of Gaza governance created renewed speculation about the government's stability.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 dips to 40%4%
Prime Minister Netanyahu met with top security officials to address rising Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, signaling government focus on security and internal stability rather than political upheaval. This meeting reassured markets about political continuity, contributing to price declines for early dissolution outcomes.
Apr 18 2026
UNRWA demolition sparks international criticism and protests
The demolition led to widespread condemnation and protests, increasing domestic political pressure on Netanyahu’s coalition and causing a sharp drop in the market’s confidence that the Knesset would survive until June, pulling the price down sharply.
Apr 4 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 drops to 12%8%
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with top security officials to address escalating Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, including attacks causing injuries and property damage. The meeting highlighted ongoing security challenges but did not indicate any parliamentary dissolution, reflecting continued political tensions without triggering a government collapse.
Apr 2 2026
Israel approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
June 30 rises to 20%2%
The approval of a major gas deal with Egypt was seen as a stabilizing factor for the government, reducing the immediate likelihood of a parliamentary dissolution.
Apr 2 2026
Iran protests erupt over currency plunge and economic woes
June 30 drops to 11%6%
Widespread protests in Iran over economic conditions and currency collapse increased regional instability, potentially influencing Israeli political dynamics and market perceptions of parliamentary dissolution likelihood.
Mar 25 2026
Israeli UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem targeted and demolished
June 30 plunges to 17%23%
Israel enforced a new law banning UNRWA operations in East Jerusalem, escalating tensions and reflecting ongoing political strife that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Mar 7 2026
Israel launches large-scale operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
June 30 surges to 66%27%
The military operation to find the last hostage was a critical condition for moving to the next phase of the ceasefire, causing a spike in market uncertainty regarding the government's future.
Mar 6 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion gas export deal to Egypt
The historic gas agreement was presented as a boost to Israel’s economy and regional standing, improving the governing coalition’s prospects and reducing immediate pressure for a snap election, which helped lift the June‑30 probability.
Mar 6 2026
Federal judge bars Arizona from prosecuting Kalshi prediction market operator
June 30 surges to 66%25%
A federal judge temporarily blocked Arizona from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, a prediction market platform, highlighting regulatory uncertainty that may influence market perceptions of political event outcomes including Israeli parliamentary dissolution.
Feb 15 2026
Israeli military launches operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
June 30 drops to 35%5%
Israel intensified efforts to recover the remains of the last hostage in Gaza, reflecting ongoing conflict and political pressures that may affect government stability and parliamentary decisions.
Feb 11 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in West Bank
June 30 plunges to 40%15%
Netanyahu met with security officials to address increasing Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, highlighting internal political tensions and security concerns that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Feb 11 2026
Israel demolishes UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem amid legal battle
The Israeli Foreign Ministry confirmed demolition of UNRWA facilities, heightening diplomatic tensions and raising speculation that the government might call early elections to consolidate support, nudging the market toward a later dissolution date.
Jan 28 2026
Israel launches large‑scale operation to locate last Gaza hostage
Prime Minister Netanyahu announced a major military effort to recover the final Israeli hostage, a step seen as prerequisite for moving to the second phase of the U.S.‑brokered ceasefire, which could delay any parliamentary dissolution until after the June‑30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s governing coalition, facing internal strain over legislation exempting ultra-Orthodox men from military service, submitted a bill on May 13, 2026, to dissolve the 25th Knesset and call early elections. Coalition leaders, including Likud and Haredi parties, advanced the measure to regain control of the electoral timetable ahead of opposition proposals, with a preliminary vote expected the following week. Passage would automatically trigger elections no earlier than 90 days later, potentially in late August or by late October. The move reflects coalition fractures that have intensified in recent weeks, as Haredi factions threatened to withhold support unless draft exemptions are secured, creating a narrow window for lawmakers to finalize dissolution before scheduled procedural deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Israel’s governing coalition, facing internal strain over legislation exempting ultra-Orthodox men from military service, submitted a bill on May 13, 2026, to dissolve the 25th Knesset and call early elections. Coalition leaders, including Likud and Haredi parties, advanced the measure to regain control of the electoral timetable ahead of opposition proposals, with a preliminary vote expected the following week. Passage would automatically trigger elections no earlier than 90 days later, potentially in late August or by late October. The move reflects coalition fractures that have intensified in recent weeks, as Haredi factions threatened to withhold support unless draft exemptions are secured, creating a narrow window for lawmakers to finalize dissolution before scheduled procedural deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 13 2026
Limited travel through Rafah crossing resumes amid ceasefire talks
The partial reopening of the Rafah crossing was interpreted as progress in the ceasefire’s second phase, reducing urgency for a political reset and causing the market’s May‑31 probability to fall while the June‑30 outlook rose sharply.
May 12 2026
Netanyahu faces internal coalition pressure over Gaza Board of Peace
June 30 surges to 48%31%
Internal coalition divisions regarding the U.S.-led Board of Peace and the future of Gaza governance created renewed speculation about the government's stability.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 dips to 40%4%
Prime Minister Netanyahu met with top security officials to address rising Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, signaling government focus on security and internal stability rather than political upheaval. This meeting reassured markets about political continuity, contributing to price declines for early dissolution outcomes.
Apr 18 2026
UNRWA demolition sparks international criticism and protests
The demolition led to widespread condemnation and protests, increasing domestic political pressure on Netanyahu’s coalition and causing a sharp drop in the market’s confidence that the Knesset would survive until June, pulling the price down sharply.
Apr 4 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 drops to 12%8%
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with top security officials to address escalating Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, including attacks causing injuries and property damage. The meeting highlighted ongoing security challenges but did not indicate any parliamentary dissolution, reflecting continued political tensions without triggering a government collapse.
Apr 2 2026
Israel approves $35 billion natural gas export deal to Egypt
June 30 rises to 20%2%
The approval of a major gas deal with Egypt was seen as a stabilizing factor for the government, reducing the immediate likelihood of a parliamentary dissolution.
Apr 2 2026
Iran protests erupt over currency plunge and economic woes
June 30 drops to 11%6%
Widespread protests in Iran over economic conditions and currency collapse increased regional instability, potentially influencing Israeli political dynamics and market perceptions of parliamentary dissolution likelihood.
Mar 25 2026
Israeli UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem targeted and demolished
June 30 plunges to 17%23%
Israel enforced a new law banning UNRWA operations in East Jerusalem, escalating tensions and reflecting ongoing political strife that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Mar 7 2026
Israel launches large-scale operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
June 30 surges to 66%27%
The military operation to find the last hostage was a critical condition for moving to the next phase of the ceasefire, causing a spike in market uncertainty regarding the government's future.
Mar 6 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion gas export deal to Egypt
The historic gas agreement was presented as a boost to Israel’s economy and regional standing, improving the governing coalition’s prospects and reducing immediate pressure for a snap election, which helped lift the June‑30 probability.
Mar 6 2026
Federal judge bars Arizona from prosecuting Kalshi prediction market operator
June 30 surges to 66%25%
A federal judge temporarily blocked Arizona from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, a prediction market platform, highlighting regulatory uncertainty that may influence market perceptions of political event outcomes including Israeli parliamentary dissolution.
Feb 15 2026
Israeli military launches operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
June 30 drops to 35%5%
Israel intensified efforts to recover the remains of the last hostage in Gaza, reflecting ongoing conflict and political pressures that may affect government stability and parliamentary decisions.
Feb 11 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in West Bank
June 30 plunges to 40%15%
Netanyahu met with security officials to address increasing Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, highlighting internal political tensions and security concerns that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Feb 11 2026
Israel demolishes UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem amid legal battle
The Israeli Foreign Ministry confirmed demolition of UNRWA facilities, heightening diplomatic tensions and raising speculation that the government might call early elections to consolidate support, nudging the market toward a later dissolution date.
Jan 28 2026
Israel launches large‑scale operation to locate last Gaza hostage
Prime Minister Netanyahu announced a major military effort to recover the final Israeli hostage, a step seen as prerequisite for moving to the second phase of the U.S.‑brokered ceasefire, which could delay any parliamentary dissolution until after the June‑30 deadline.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti
"Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "30 giugno" a 43%, seguito da "31 maggio" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 43¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.
Ad oggi, "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?" ha generato $1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 3, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.
Per fare trading su "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.
L'attuale favorito per "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?" è "30 giugno" a 43%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "31 maggio" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.
Le regole di risoluzione per "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.
Sì. Non è necessario fare trading per restare informati. Questa pagina funziona come un tracker live per "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?". Le probabilità degli esiti si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che arrivano nuove operazioni. Puoi aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti e controllare la sezione commenti per vedere cosa dicono gli altri trader. Puoi anche usare i filtri temporali sul grafico per vedere come sono cambiate le quote nel tempo. È una finestra gratuita e in tempo reale su ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.
Le quote di Polymarket sono stabilite da veri trader che investono denaro reale nelle loro convinzioni, il che tende a produrre previsioni accurate. Con $1 million scambiati su "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?", questi prezzi aggregano la conoscenza collettiva e la convinzione di migliaia di partecipanti — spesso superando sondaggi, previsioni di esperti e indagini tradizionali. I mercati predittivi come Polymarket hanno un forte track record di accuratezza, specialmente man mano che gli eventi si avvicinano alla data di risoluzione. Ad esempio, Polymarket ha un punteggio di accuratezza a un mese di 94%. Per le ultime statistiche sull'accuratezza delle previsioni di Polymarket, visita la pagina accuratezza su Polymarket.
Per piazzare la tua prima operazione su "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?", registrati per un account Polymarket gratuito e finanzialo con crypto, carta di credito o debito, o bonifico bancario. Una volta finanziato il tuo account, torna su questa pagina, seleziona l'esito su cui vuoi fare trading, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se sei nuovo ai mercati predittivi, clicca il link "Come funziona" in cima a qualsiasi pagina Polymarket per una guida passo-passo su come funziona il trading.
Su Polymarket, il prezzo di ogni esito rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Un prezzo di 43¢ per "30 giugno" nel mercato "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?" significa che i trader credono collettivamente che ci sia circa una probabilità di 43% che "30 giugno" sia il risultato corretto. Se compri azioni "Sì" a 43¢ e l'esito è corretto, ricevi $1,00 per azione — un profitto di 57¢ per azione. Se errato, quelle azioni valgono $0.
Il mercato "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?" è programmato per la risoluzione il o intorno al Jun 30, 2026. Questo significa che il trading rimarrà aperto e le quote continueranno a cambiare man mano che emergono nuove informazioni fino a quella data. La tempistica esatta di risoluzione dipende da quando il risultato ufficiale diventa disponibile, come indicato nella sezione "Regole" su questa pagina.
Il mercato "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?" ha una comunità attiva di 30 commenti dove i trader condividono le loro analisi, discutono gli esiti e commentano gli sviluppi dell'ultima ora. Scorri in basso alla sezione commenti per leggere cosa pensano gli altri partecipanti. Puoi anche filtrare per "Maggiori detentori" per vedere su cosa sono posizionati i più grandi trader del mercato, o controllare la scheda "Attività" per un feed in tempo reale delle operazioni.
Polymarket è il più grande mercato predittivo al mondo, dove puoi restare informato e trarre profitto dalla tua conoscenza di eventi reali. I trader comprano e vendono azioni sugli esiti per argomenti che spaziano dalla politica e le elezioni alle crypto, finanza, sport, tecnologia e cultura, inclusi mercati come "Parlamento israeliano sciolto da...?". I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale supportate da convinzione finanziaria, fornendo spesso segnali più rapidi e accurati di sondaggi, opinionisti o indagini tradizionali.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti