The October 27, 2026, Israeli election delivered final certified results showing Likud with 27 Knesset seats, down from 32 in the prior parliament. This decline aligns with the right-wing bloc falling to 53 seats overall from a previous 68, amid record turnout exceeding 77 percent and notable gains by opposition parties such as Yashar alongside Arab lists reaching 19 seats. Pre-election polling and exit surveys had already signaled erosion for Likud and its allies, reflecting voter shifts in a fragmented contest where no bloc secured a 61-seat majority. Trader consensus at 99.5 percent for Likud losing seats rests on these verified tallies. Only an unprecedented reversal during final certification or recounts could alter the outcome, though such changes remain highly improbable given the completed count.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoView resolved

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