Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–24 seats, a clear decline from its 32 seats in 2022. This positioning stems from sustained erosion of support tied to the judicial overhaul push, the security fallout from October 7 and subsequent conflicts, and internal party tensions ahead of Likud primaries. Gadi Eisenkot’s new Yashar party has emerged as a direct rival, frequently polling ahead or tied with Likud and drawing voters focused on security and governance alternatives. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc consistently registers below the 61-seat majority threshold in surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, and Lazar, reflecting fragmented right-wing backing and opposition consolidation. These polling trends underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato86% probabilità
$10,901 Vol.
$10,901 Vol.
27 ott 2026
86% probabilità
$10,901 Vol.
$10,901 Vol.
27 ott 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–24 seats, a clear decline from its 32 seats in 2022. This positioning stems from sustained erosion of support tied to the judicial overhaul push, the security fallout from October 7 and subsequent conflicts, and internal party tensions ahead of Likud primaries. Gadi Eisenkot’s new Yashar party has emerged as a direct rival, frequently polling ahead or tied with Likud and drawing voters focused on security and governance alternatives. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc consistently registers below the 61-seat majority threshold in surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, and Lazar, reflecting fragmented right-wing backing and opposition consolidation. These polling trends underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$10,901Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–24 seats, a clear decline from its 32 seats in 2022. This positioning stems from sustained erosion of support tied to the judicial overhaul push, the security fallout from October 7 and subsequent conflicts, and internal party tensions ahead of Likud primaries. Gadi Eisenkot’s new Yashar party has emerged as a direct rival, frequently polling ahead or tied with Likud and drawing voters focused on security and governance alternatives. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc consistently registers below the 61-seat majority threshold in surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, and Lazar, reflecting fragmented right-wing backing and opposition consolidation. These polling trends underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$10,901Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at 21–24 seats, a clear decline from its 32 seats in 2022. This positioning stems from sustained erosion of support tied to the judicial overhaul push, the security fallout from October 7 and subsequent conflicts, and internal party tensions ahead of Likud primaries. Gadi Eisenkot’s new Yashar party has emerged as a direct rival, frequently polling ahead or tied with Likud and drawing voters focused on security and governance alternatives. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc consistently registers below the 61-seat majority threshold in surveys from firms including Midgam, Kantar, and Lazar, reflecting fragmented right-wing backing and opposition consolidation. These polling trends underpin the strong trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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