Benjamin Netanyahu faces an ICC arrest warrant issued in late 2024 over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as lacking jurisdiction, alongside ongoing domestic corruption proceedings where he completed testimony in June 2026. Trader odds for arrest by late September or December 2026 remain low, reflecting U.S. opposition under President Trump, including sanctions on ICC figures and explicit statements that no detention will occur on American soil during the September UN General Assembly session in New York. Recent catalysts include Turkey’s August 2026 request for an Interpol red notice linked to a Gaza flotilla case and New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s calls for enforcement, though U.S. federal authority and lack of state-party action limit immediate risks. Netanyahu has signaled protective measures for travel, while his coalition stability and scheduled diplomatic events could influence enforcement windows before year-end resolution.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Benjamin Netanyahu faces an ICC arrest warrant issued in late 2024 over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as lacking jurisdiction, alongside ongoing domestic corruption proceedings where he completed testimony in June 2026. Trader odds for arrest by late September or December 2026 remain low, reflecting U.S. opposition under President Trump, including sanctions on ICC figures and explicit statements that no detention will occur on American soil during the September UN General Assembly session in New York. Recent catalysts include Turkey’s August 2026 request for an Interpol red notice linked to a Gaza flotilla case and New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s calls for enforcement, though U.S. federal authority and lack of state-party action limit immediate risks. Netanyahu has signaled protective measures for travel, while his coalition stability and scheduled diplomatic events could influence enforcement windows before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$24,879Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Benjamin Netanyahu faces an ICC arrest warrant issued in late 2024 over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as lacking jurisdiction, alongside ongoing domestic corruption proceedings where he completed testimony in June 2026. Trader odds for arrest by late September or December 2026 remain low, reflecting U.S. opposition under President Trump, including sanctions on ICC figures and explicit statements that no detention will occur on American soil during the September UN General Assembly session in New York. Recent catalysts include Turkey’s August 2026 request for an Interpol red notice linked to a Gaza flotilla case and New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s calls for enforcement, though U.S. federal authority and lack of state-party action limit immediate risks. Netanyahu has signaled protective measures for travel, while his coalition stability and scheduled diplomatic events could influence enforcement windows before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,879Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Benjamin Netanyahu faces an ICC arrest warrant issued in late 2024 over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, which Israel rejects as lacking jurisdiction, alongside ongoing domestic corruption proceedings where he completed testimony in June 2026. Trader odds for arrest by late September or December 2026 remain low, reflecting U.S. opposition under President Trump, including sanctions on ICC figures and explicit statements that no detention will occur on American soil during the September UN General Assembly session in New York. Recent catalysts include Turkey’s August 2026 request for an Interpol red notice linked to a Gaza flotilla case and New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s calls for enforcement, though U.S. federal authority and lack of state-party action limit immediate risks. Netanyahu has signaled protective measures for travel, while his coalition stability and scheduled diplomatic events could influence enforcement windows before year-end resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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