Rebeca Grynspan holds the lead in trader consensus due to her strong showing in the first Security Council straw poll in late July 2026, where she received the most “encourage” votes among candidates from the Latin American and Caribbean group favored by regional rotation norms. Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett moved into a clearer second place after topping the August 21 straw poll with eight encourage votes, reflecting her diplomatic record as Guyana’s UN permanent representative and former foreign minister. Rafael Grossi and María Fernanda Espinosa follow with more modest support tied to their respective IAEA leadership and prior General Assembly roles. Recent interactive dialogues and the handover of the process to the new General Assembly president in early September have kept attention on Security Council preferences ahead of further informal ballots.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan 36%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 19.7%
Rafael Grossi 14%
María Fernanda Espinosa 12.4%
$195,976 Vol.
$195,976 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan
36%

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
20%

Rafael Grossi
14%

María Fernanda Espinosa
12%

Macky Sall
6%

Michelle Bachelet
3%

Olara Otunnu
1%

Ivonne de Baki
1%
Rebeca Grynspan 36%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 19.7%
Rafael Grossi 14%
María Fernanda Espinosa 12.4%
$195,976 Vol.
$195,976 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan
36%

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
20%

Rafael Grossi
14%

María Fernanda Espinosa
12%

Macky Sall
6%

Michelle Bachelet
3%

Olara Otunnu
1%

Ivonne de Baki
1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Rebeca Grynspan holds the lead in trader consensus due to her strong showing in the first Security Council straw poll in late July 2026, where she received the most “encourage” votes among candidates from the Latin American and Caribbean group favored by regional rotation norms. Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett moved into a clearer second place after topping the August 21 straw poll with eight encourage votes, reflecting her diplomatic record as Guyana’s UN permanent representative and former foreign minister. Rafael Grossi and María Fernanda Espinosa follow with more modest support tied to their respective IAEA leadership and prior General Assembly roles. Recent interactive dialogues and the handover of the process to the new General Assembly president in early September have kept attention on Security Council preferences ahead of further informal ballots.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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