Trader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability against U.S. forces deploying to Gaza before 2027, driven by repeated Pentagon denials of any such plans and the May 1 announcement to close the U.S.-run Civil-Military Coordination Center near Gaza as President Trump's stabilization initiative stalls amid recruitment shortfalls for the international force. Official statements emphasize no American troops will enter Gaza, favoring a multinational stabilization force led by allies like Indonesia and Morocco, with U.S. support limited to logistics outside the Strip. Recent deployments of thousands of troops to the broader Middle East in April addressed Iran tensions and Israel-Lebanon clashes but stopped short of Gaza, underscoring Washington's aversion to direct ground involvement amid ongoing ceasefire fragility and Hamas disarmament hurdles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLe forze statunitensi a Gaza prima del 2027?
Le forze statunitensi a Gaza prima del 2027?
Sì
$50,125 Vol.
$50,125 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$50,125 Vol.
$50,125 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability against U.S. forces deploying to Gaza before 2027, driven by repeated Pentagon denials of any such plans and the May 1 announcement to close the U.S.-run Civil-Military Coordination Center near Gaza as President Trump's stabilization initiative stalls amid recruitment shortfalls for the international force. Official statements emphasize no American troops will enter Gaza, favoring a multinational stabilization force led by allies like Indonesia and Morocco, with U.S. support limited to logistics outside the Strip. Recent deployments of thousands of troops to the broader Middle East in April addressed Iran tensions and Israel-Lebanon clashes but stopped short of Gaza, underscoring Washington's aversion to direct ground involvement amid ongoing ceasefire fragility and Hamas disarmament hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Volume
$50,125Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability against U.S. forces deploying to Gaza before 2027, driven by repeated Pentagon denials of any such plans and the May 1 announcement to close the U.S.-run Civil-Military Coordination Center near Gaza as President Trump's stabilization initiative stalls amid recruitment shortfalls for the international force. Official statements emphasize no American troops will enter Gaza, favoring a multinational stabilization force led by allies like Indonesia and Morocco, with U.S. support limited to logistics outside the Strip. Recent deployments of thousands of troops to the broader Middle East in April addressed Iran tensions and Israel-Lebanon clashes but stopped short of Gaza, underscoring Washington's aversion to direct ground involvement amid ongoing ceasefire fragility and Hamas disarmament hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$50,125Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability against U.S. forces deploying to Gaza before 2027, driven by repeated Pentagon denials of any such plans and the May 1 announcement to close the U.S.-run Civil-Military Coordination Center near Gaza as President Trump's stabilization initiative stalls amid recruitment shortfalls for the international force. Official statements emphasize no American troops will enter Gaza, favoring a multinational stabilization force led by allies like Indonesia and Morocco, with U.S. support limited to logistics outside the Strip. Recent deployments of thousands of troops to the broader Middle East in April addressed Iran tensions and Israel-Lebanon clashes but stopped short of Gaza, underscoring Washington's aversion to direct ground involvement amid ongoing ceasefire fragility and Hamas disarmament hurdles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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