Recent U.S.-facilitated ceasefire extensions between Israel and Lebanon, combined with commitments to limit Hezbollah activity in southern sectors, have reduced immediate threats to the Beirut embassy compound and allowed core diplomatic functions to continue. Earlier partial departures of non-emergency personnel addressed February tensions tied to Iran-related developments, yet no announcement or confirmation of a full embassy evacuation has occurred amid this stabilization. Security alerts into early June note contained volatility rather than acute escalation requiring withdrawal. Follow-up diplomatic talks scheduled later in the month reinforce trader consensus that complete evacuation by the June 30 deadline is unnecessary. A sudden ceasefire breakdown or major security incident could still alter assessments in the remaining window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
$81,282 Vol.
$81,282 Vol.
30 giu 2026
$81,282 Vol.
$81,282 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S.-facilitated ceasefire extensions between Israel and Lebanon, combined with commitments to limit Hezbollah activity in southern sectors, have reduced immediate threats to the Beirut embassy compound and allowed core diplomatic functions to continue. Earlier partial departures of non-emergency personnel addressed February tensions tied to Iran-related developments, yet no announcement or confirmation of a full embassy evacuation has occurred amid this stabilization. Security alerts into early June note contained volatility rather than acute escalation requiring withdrawal. Follow-up diplomatic talks scheduled later in the month reinforce trader consensus that complete evacuation by the June 30 deadline is unnecessary. A sudden ceasefire breakdown or major security incident could still alter assessments in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Volume
$81,282Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Recent U.S.-facilitated ceasefire extensions between Israel and Lebanon, combined with commitments to limit Hezbollah activity in southern sectors, have reduced immediate threats to the Beirut embassy compound and allowed core diplomatic functions to continue. Earlier partial departures of non-emergency personnel addressed February tensions tied to Iran-related developments, yet no announcement or confirmation of a full embassy evacuation has occurred amid this stabilization. Security alerts into early June note contained volatility rather than acute escalation requiring withdrawal. Follow-up diplomatic talks scheduled later in the month reinforce trader consensus that complete evacuation by the June 30 deadline is unnecessary. A sudden ceasefire breakdown or major security incident could still alter assessments in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$81,282Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-facilitated ceasefire extensions between Israel and Lebanon, combined with commitments to limit Hezbollah activity in southern sectors, have reduced immediate threats to the Beirut embassy compound and allowed core diplomatic functions to continue. Earlier partial departures of non-emergency personnel addressed February tensions tied to Iran-related developments, yet no announcement or confirmation of a full embassy evacuation has occurred amid this stabilization. Security alerts into early June note contained volatility rather than acute escalation requiring withdrawal. Follow-up diplomatic talks scheduled later in the month reinforce trader consensus that complete evacuation by the June 30 deadline is unnecessary. A sudden ceasefire breakdown or major security incident could still alter assessments in the remaining window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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