Israel's President Isaac Herzog has deferred any decision on Benjamin Netanyahu's November 2025 pardon request in his ongoing corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward a plea deal between the prime minister and the Attorney General. A March 2026 opinion from the Justice Ministry's pardons department indicated that clemency would be inappropriate absent resignation, an admission of guilt, or conviction, amid reported external pressure. As of mid-2026, no pardon has been issued, and the process remains stalled pending those negotiations. Traders assign low implied probabilities to near-term resolution by late 2026 dates, reflecting the procedural barriers, Herzog's stated conditions, and the uncertain timeline for any plea agreement or political shift that could alter the path to clemency.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$477,873 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
7%
$477,873 Vol.
31 dicembre
$6,855 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's President Isaac Herzog has deferred any decision on Benjamin Netanyahu's November 2025 pardon request in his ongoing corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward a plea deal between the prime minister and the Attorney General. A March 2026 opinion from the Justice Ministry's pardons department indicated that clemency would be inappropriate absent resignation, an admission of guilt, or conviction, amid reported external pressure. As of mid-2026, no pardon has been issued, and the process remains stalled pending those negotiations. Traders assign low implied probabilities to near-term resolution by late 2026 dates, reflecting the procedural barriers, Herzog's stated conditions, and the uncertain timeline for any plea agreement or political shift that could alter the path to clemency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Volume
$477,873Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's President Isaac Herzog has deferred any decision on Benjamin Netanyahu's November 2025 pardon request in his ongoing corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward a plea deal between the prime minister and the Attorney General. A March 2026 opinion from the Justice Ministry's pardons department indicated that clemency would be inappropriate absent resignation, an admission of guilt, or conviction, amid reported external pressure. As of mid-2026, no pardon has been issued, and the process remains stalled pending those negotiations. Traders assign low implied probabilities to near-term resolution by late 2026 dates, reflecting the procedural barriers, Herzog's stated conditions, and the uncertain timeline for any plea agreement or political shift that could alter the path to clemency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$477,873Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's President Isaac Herzog has deferred any decision on Benjamin Netanyahu's November 2025 pardon request in his ongoing corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward a plea deal between the prime minister and the Attorney General. A March 2026 opinion from the Justice Ministry's pardons department indicated that clemency would be inappropriate absent resignation, an admission of guilt, or conviction, amid reported external pressure. As of mid-2026, no pardon has been issued, and the process remains stalled pending those negotiations. Traders assign low implied probabilities to near-term resolution by late 2026 dates, reflecting the procedural barriers, Herzog's stated conditions, and the uncertain timeline for any plea agreement or political shift that could alter the path to clemency.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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