Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, elected by parliament in January 2025 to end a prolonged vacancy, has consolidated his position through active diplomacy following the April 2026 ceasefire with Israel. In recent public statements, he has emphasized transforming the truce into permanent agreements that protect sovereignty, territorial integrity, and national decision-making, while coordinating with the United States and regional partners on reconstruction and army deployment. These developments have reinforced institutional stability in a parliament still navigating post-conflict priorities. With no scheduled elections, legislative challenges, or reported coalition pressures targeting the presidency before year-end, traders assess removal by December 31, 2026, as a low-probability outcome, reflecting consensus around continuity during this early phase of his six-year term.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJoseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, elected by parliament in January 2025 to end a prolonged vacancy, has consolidated his position through active diplomacy following the April 2026 ceasefire with Israel. In recent public statements, he has emphasized transforming the truce into permanent agreements that protect sovereignty, territorial integrity, and national decision-making, while coordinating with the United States and regional partners on reconstruction and army deployment. These developments have reinforced institutional stability in a parliament still navigating post-conflict priorities. With no scheduled elections, legislative challenges, or reported coalition pressures targeting the presidency before year-end, traders assess removal by December 31, 2026, as a low-probability outcome, reflecting consensus around continuity during this early phase of his six-year term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Volume
$7,110Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, elected by parliament in January 2025 to end a prolonged vacancy, has consolidated his position through active diplomacy following the April 2026 ceasefire with Israel. In recent public statements, he has emphasized transforming the truce into permanent agreements that protect sovereignty, territorial integrity, and national decision-making, while coordinating with the United States and regional partners on reconstruction and army deployment. These developments have reinforced institutional stability in a parliament still navigating post-conflict priorities. With no scheduled elections, legislative challenges, or reported coalition pressures targeting the presidency before year-end, traders assess removal by December 31, 2026, as a low-probability outcome, reflecting consensus around continuity during this early phase of his six-year term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,110Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, elected by parliament in January 2025 to end a prolonged vacancy, has consolidated his position through active diplomacy following the April 2026 ceasefire with Israel. In recent public statements, he has emphasized transforming the truce into permanent agreements that protect sovereignty, territorial integrity, and national decision-making, while coordinating with the United States and regional partners on reconstruction and army deployment. These developments have reinforced institutional stability in a parliament still navigating post-conflict priorities. With no scheduled elections, legislative challenges, or reported coalition pressures targeting the presidency before year-end, traders assess removal by December 31, 2026, as a low-probability outcome, reflecting consensus around continuity during this early phase of his six-year term.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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