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MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Sarah Elfreth 96.5%

Robert Morrison 74%

Jennifer Cross 74%

Austin Dyches 74%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Sarah Elfreth 96.5%

Robert Morrison 74%

Jennifer Cross 74%

Austin Dyches 74%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Sarah Elfreth

$392 Vol.

97%

Robert Morrison

$0 Vol.

74%

Jennifer Cross

$0 Vol.

74%

Austin Dyches

$0 Vol.

74%

Sean Hammond

$0 Vol.

73%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sarah Elfreth holds the lead in the Maryland 3rd District Democratic primary as the incumbent seeking a second term, with the June 23 vote approaching and multiple challengers including Jennifer Cross, Austin Dyches, Sean Hammond, and Robert Morrison on the ballot. The crowded field fragments opposition support and sustains a competitive environment among lesser-known contenders, while Elfreth benefits from name recognition, prior general election performance, and early fundraising in a district with strong Democratic leanings. No major polling or late-breaking endorsements have shifted the race in recent weeks, leaving room for voter turnout patterns or campaign momentum in the final days to widen gaps before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$392
Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sarah Elfreth holds the lead in the Maryland 3rd District Democratic primary as the incumbent seeking a second term, with the June 23 vote approaching and multiple challengers including Jennifer Cross, Austin Dyches, Sean Hammond, and Robert Morrison on the ballot. The crowded field fragments opposition support and sustains a competitive environment among lesser-known contenders, while Elfreth benefits from name recognition, prior general election performance, and early fundraising in a district with strong Democratic leanings. No major polling or late-breaking endorsements have shifted the race in recent weeks, leaving room for voter turnout patterns or campaign momentum in the final days to widen gaps before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$392
Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Sarah Elfreth" a 97%, seguito da "Robert Morrison" a 37%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 10, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Sarah Elfreth" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Robert Morrison" a 37%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.