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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Aberdeen Sud 2026
Politica·Scotland

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Aberdeen Sud 2026

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Aberdeen Sud 2026
Politica·Scotland

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Aberdeen Sud 2026

Richard Gordon Thomson 72%

Douglas Lumsden 27%

Nurul Hoque Ali <1%

Jorg Shelton-Eckstein <1%

Polymarket

$10,287 Vol.

Richard Gordon Thomson 72%

Douglas Lumsden 27%

Nurul Hoque Ali <1%

Jorg Shelton-Eckstein <1%

Polymarket

$10,287 Vol.

icon for Richard Gordon Thomson

Richard Gordon Thomson

$1,876 Vol.

72%

icon for Douglas Lumsden

Douglas Lumsden

$2,701 Vol.

27%

icon for Nurul Hoque Ali

Nurul Hoque Ali

$1,366 Vol.

1%

icon for Jorg Shelton-Eckstein

Jorg Shelton-Eckstein

$1,135 Vol.

1%

icon for David Ballantine

David Ballantine

$1,113 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jo Hart

Jo Hart

$1,031 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mel Sullivan

Mel Sullivan

$1,065 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).The SNP's selection of Richard Gordon Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency with extensive local government experience in Aberdeenshire, underpins trader consensus favoring his victory in the 18 June 2026 by-election. The contest follows Stephen Flynn's resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, with the SNP retaining a structural advantage in this North Sea energy seat where oil and gas policy remains a central campaign issue. Douglas Lumsden, the Scottish Conservative candidate and MSP, represents the main opposition challenge amid broader UK-wide shifts in voter priorities. Other candidates, including Labour's Nurul Hoque Ali, trail significantly in implied probabilities, reflecting limited recent polling movement or breakthrough developments in the final days before polling.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Volume
$10,287
Data di fine
19 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).The SNP's selection of Richard Gordon Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency with extensive local government experience in Aberdeenshire, underpins trader consensus favoring his victory in the 18 June 2026 by-election. The contest follows Stephen Flynn's resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, with the SNP retaining a structural advantage in this North Sea energy seat where oil and gas policy remains a central campaign issue. Douglas Lumsden, the Scottish Conservative candidate and MSP, represents the main opposition challenge amid broader UK-wide shifts in voter priorities. Other candidates, including Labour's Nurul Hoque Ali, trail significantly in implied probabilities, reflecting limited recent polling movement or breakthrough developments in the final days before polling.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Volume
$10,287
Data di fine
19 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Aberdeen Sud 2026" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Richard Gordon Thomson" a 72%, seguito da "Douglas Lumsden" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 72¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 72% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Aberdeen Sud 2026" ha generato $10.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 9, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Aberdeen Sud 2026", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Aberdeen Sud 2026" è "Richard Gordon Thomson" a 72%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 72% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Douglas Lumsden" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Aberdeen Sud 2026" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.