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Politica·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politica·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 68%

William Lawrence 44%

Matt Maasdam 5.1%

Elyon Badger 3.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Bridget Brink 68%

William Lawrence 44%

Matt Maasdam 5.1%

Elyon Badger 3.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Bridget Brink

$1,332 Vol.

52%

William Lawrence

$4,956 Vol.

44%

Matt Maasdam

$655 Vol.

5%

Elyon Badger

$631 Vol.

4%

Josh Cowen

$844 Vol.

2%

Muhammad Salman Rais

$602 Vol.

2%

Alexandra Prieditis

$698 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the MI-07 Democratic primary tilts slightly toward Bridget Brink at 53.5% implied probability over William Lawrence at 44.5%, reflecting her stronger fundraising ($1.3 million cash on hand as of late March), establishment endorsements from former Michigan House Speaker Joe Tate and Emily's List, and national profile as former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine—positioning her as a general election asset against GOP incumbent Tom Barrett in this toss-up district. Lawrence's grassroots momentum, local Lansing ties, and fresh endorsement from Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13 have closed the gap, aligning with his campaign's internal polls showing leads amid high undecideds (over 80% in a March neutral survey). The race remains tight due to progressive vs. moderate tensions; independent polling, debates, or further endorsements could tip the balance before the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,718
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the MI-07 Democratic primary tilts slightly toward Bridget Brink at 53.5% implied probability over William Lawrence at 44.5%, reflecting her stronger fundraising ($1.3 million cash on hand as of late March), establishment endorsements from former Michigan House Speaker Joe Tate and Emily's List, and national profile as former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine—positioning her as a general election asset against GOP incumbent Tom Barrett in this toss-up district. Lawrence's grassroots momentum, local Lansing ties, and fresh endorsement from Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13 have closed the gap, aligning with his campaign's internal polls showing leads amid high undecideds (over 80% in a March neutral survey). The race remains tight due to progressive vs. moderate tensions; independent polling, debates, or further endorsements could tip the balance before the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,718
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Bridget Brink" a 52%, seguito da "William Lawrence" a 45%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 52¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 23, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Bridget Brink" a 52%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "William Lawrence" a 45%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.