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Politica·Primarie

Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politica·Primarie

Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Jocelyn Benson 95.9%

Chris Swanson 2.9%

Garlin Gilchrist <1%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$12,690 Vol.

Jocelyn Benson 95.9%

Chris Swanson 2.9%

Garlin Gilchrist <1%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$12,690 Vol.

Jocelyn Benson

$8,440 Vol.

96%

Chris Swanson

$1,511 Vol.

3%

Garlin Gilchrist

$1,564 Vol.

1%

Marni Sawicki

$1,175 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands 95.7% trader consensus to win Michigan's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by dominant recent polls including Mitchell Research (May 1-7) at 62% to Chris Swanson's 8% and Glengariff Group (April 17-19) at 66%, alongside surging Democratic support to 64% in general election hypotheticals against Rep. John James and others. Her incumbency visibility, fundraising momentum, and electability edge have marginalized challengers like Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist and Genesee County Sheriff Swanson, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing with minimal viable competition post-filing deadline. Late-breaking scandals, high-profile endorsements shifting to underdogs, or unexpected primary polling surges could challenge this lead ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,690
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands 95.7% trader consensus to win Michigan's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by dominant recent polls including Mitchell Research (May 1-7) at 62% to Chris Swanson's 8% and Glengariff Group (April 17-19) at 66%, alongside surging Democratic support to 64% in general election hypotheticals against Rep. John James and others. Her incumbency visibility, fundraising momentum, and electability edge have marginalized challengers like Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist and Genesee County Sheriff Swanson, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing with minimal viable competition post-filing deadline. Late-breaking scandals, high-profile endorsements shifting to underdogs, or unexpected primary polling surges could challenge this lead ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,690
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Domande frequenti

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jocelyn Benson" a 96%, seguito da "Chris Swanson" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 96¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $12.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 10, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" è "Jocelyn Benson" a 96%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Chris Swanson" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.