Elaine Pelino holds a commanding lead in the Rhode Island Republican primary for governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, reflecting strong trader consensus on her position among likely primary voters. University of New Hampshire polling from June showed her ahead of party-endorsed Aaron Guckian by 25 points, a margin that has persisted amid limited fundraising on her side. The August 13 debate highlighted contrasting approaches, with Pelino appealing to the MAGA base on issues like immigration while Guckian emphasized centrism, though no major shifts in positioning followed. Minor candidates including Robert Raimondo trail far behind with negligible support in surveys and market pricing. The race remains defined by these polling trends and base mobilization dynamics in the final weeks before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElaine Pelino 73%
Aaron Guckian 27.3%
Ashley Kalus <1%
Robert Raimondo <1%
$29,272 Vol.
$29,272 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
73%

Aaron Guckian
27%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 73%
Aaron Guckian 27.3%
Ashley Kalus <1%
Robert Raimondo <1%
$29,272 Vol.
$29,272 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
73%

Aaron Guckian
27%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elaine Pelino holds a commanding lead in the Rhode Island Republican primary for governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, reflecting strong trader consensus on her position among likely primary voters. University of New Hampshire polling from June showed her ahead of party-endorsed Aaron Guckian by 25 points, a margin that has persisted amid limited fundraising on her side. The August 13 debate highlighted contrasting approaches, with Pelino appealing to the MAGA base on issues like immigration while Guckian emphasized centrism, though no major shifts in positioning followed. Minor candidates including Robert Raimondo trail far behind with negligible support in surveys and market pricing. The race remains defined by these polling trends and base mobilization dynamics in the final weeks before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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