Scott Hamilton leads the Cambridge, Ontario mayoral market at 63% implied probability as a sitting Ward 7 councillor who filed first on nomination day and has conducted extensive community outreach, including town halls and policy-focused campaigning on affordability, housing intensification, infrastructure, and transit. The October 26 election features six certified candidates after two withdrawals narrowed the field in August. Incumbent Jan Liggett, seeking a second term, trades at 21.5% amid trader assessment of Hamilton’s council record and visibility advantage. Lower-priced contenders Ryan Bolender, Tony Chaves, Ihtsham Haq, and Ken Roche register minimal shares, consistent with limited name recognition and later entries. Recent candidate forums and local polling have reinforced Hamilton’s positioning without major late shifts in the two weeks before voting.