Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-16% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 election, with notable concentration in the Quebec City CMA where models project it competing directly for multiple ridings against the CAQ and PQ. This geographic clustering supports a plausible range of roughly 7-18 seats depending on turnout efficiency and second-choice flows among francophone voters, while vote splitting with the CAQ in Capitale-Nationale and limited penetration elsewhere keeps totals from rising sharply. The September 15 leaders’ debate and steady recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and others have not produced major shifts, leaving trader pricing clustered around 8-13 seats as the most probable outcomes. Small changes in regional margins or turnout could still widen or narrow the final tally.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato8-10 29%
11-13 24%
17+ 12.7%
5-7 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
<5
3%
5-7
11%
8-10
29%
11-13
24%
14-16
6%
17+
15%
8-10 29%
11-13 24%
17+ 12.7%
5-7 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 ott 2026
<5
$1,969 Vol.
3%
5-7
$784 Vol.
11%
8-10
$1,323 Vol.
29%
11-13
$1,407 Vol.
24%
14-16
$960 Vol.
6%
17+
$977 Vol.
15%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-16% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 election, with notable concentration in the Quebec City CMA where models project it competing directly for multiple ridings against the CAQ and PQ. This geographic clustering supports a plausible range of roughly 7-18 seats depending on turnout efficiency and second-choice flows among francophone voters, while vote splitting with the CAQ in Capitale-Nationale and limited penetration elsewhere keeps totals from rising sharply. The September 15 leaders’ debate and steady recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and others have not produced major shifts, leaving trader pricing clustered around 8-13 seats as the most probable outcomes. Small changes in regional margins or turnout could still widen or narrow the final tally.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$7,421Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-16% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 election, with notable concentration in the Quebec City CMA where models project it competing directly for multiple ridings against the CAQ and PQ. This geographic clustering supports a plausible range of roughly 7-18 seats depending on turnout efficiency and second-choice flows among francophone voters, while vote splitting with the CAQ in Capitale-Nationale and limited penetration elsewhere keeps totals from rising sharply. The September 15 leaders’ debate and steady recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and others have not produced major shifts, leaving trader pricing clustered around 8-13 seats as the most probable outcomes. Small changes in regional margins or turnout could still widen or narrow the final tally.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$7,421Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 14-16% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 election, with notable concentration in the Quebec City CMA where models project it competing directly for multiple ridings against the CAQ and PQ. This geographic clustering supports a plausible range of roughly 7-18 seats depending on turnout efficiency and second-choice flows among francophone voters, while vote splitting with the CAQ in Capitale-Nationale and limited penetration elsewhere keeps totals from rising sharply. The September 15 leaders’ debate and steady recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and others have not produced major shifts, leaving trader pricing clustered around 8-13 seats as the most probable outcomes. Small changes in regional margins or turnout could still widen or narrow the final tally.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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