Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson (D), who secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10 primary by defeating challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, commands 85% trader consensus in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House race against Republican nominee Ron Eller, who won his primary later that month. The district's solidly Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, combined with Thompson's 30+ year tenure and historical D+20 lean, drives this strong favoritism amid low GOP performance in past cycles. Recent redistricting pushes, including Thompson's May 7 vow to oppose changes and a legislative special session slated for May 20, pose potential disruption, but completed primaries likely defer impacts to 2028, preserving the status quo through the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$21,518 Vol.
$21,518 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
15%
$21,518 Vol.
$21,518 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$11,302 Vol.
85%
Republican Party
$10,216 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson (D), who secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10 primary by defeating challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, commands 85% trader consensus in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House race against Republican nominee Ron Eller, who won his primary later that month. The district's solidly Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, combined with Thompson's 30+ year tenure and historical D+20 lean, drives this strong favoritism amid low GOP performance in past cycles. Recent redistricting pushes, including Thompson's May 7 vow to oppose changes and a legislative special session slated for May 20, pose potential disruption, but completed primaries likely defer impacts to 2028, preserving the status quo through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,518Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson (D), who secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10 primary by defeating challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, commands 85% trader consensus in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House race against Republican nominee Ron Eller, who won his primary later that month. The district's solidly Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, combined with Thompson's 30+ year tenure and historical D+20 lean, drives this strong favoritism amid low GOP performance in past cycles. Recent redistricting pushes, including Thompson's May 7 vow to oppose changes and a legislative special session slated for May 20, pose potential disruption, but completed primaries likely defer impacts to 2028, preserving the status quo through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,518Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Bennie Thompson (D), who secured the Democratic nomination in the March 10 primary by defeating challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, commands 85% trader consensus in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House race against Republican nominee Ron Eller, who won his primary later that month. The district's solidly Democratic rating from the Cook Political Report, combined with Thompson's 30+ year tenure and historical D+20 lean, drives this strong favoritism amid low GOP performance in past cycles. Recent redistricting pushes, including Thompson's May 7 vow to oppose changes and a legislative special session slated for May 20, pose potential disruption, but completed primaries likely defer impacts to 2028, preserving the status quo through the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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