Republican incumbent Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in the MS-01 House race, reflecting the district's R+18 partisan voting index and his consistent electoral strength in northeastern Mississippi. Kelly advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and holds a significant fundraising edge heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who prevailed in his party's primary, confronts structural challenges in a seat where Republicans have secured double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices in the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with historical results and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. A late-breaking development such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MS-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MS-01
$109,873 Vol.
$109,873 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
94%
Partito Democratico
3%
$109,873 Vol.
$109,873 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$78,142 Vol.
94%
Partito Democratico
$31,731 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in the MS-01 House race, reflecting the district's R+18 partisan voting index and his consistent electoral strength in northeastern Mississippi. Kelly advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and holds a significant fundraising edge heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who prevailed in his party's primary, confronts structural challenges in a seat where Republicans have secured double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices in the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with historical results and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. A late-breaking development such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$109,873Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in the MS-01 House race, reflecting the district's R+18 partisan voting index and his consistent electoral strength in northeastern Mississippi. Kelly advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and holds a significant fundraising edge heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who prevailed in his party's primary, confronts structural challenges in a seat where Republicans have secured double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices in the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with historical results and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. A late-breaking development such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$109,873Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in the MS-01 House race, reflecting the district's R+18 partisan voting index and his consistent electoral strength in northeastern Mississippi. Kelly advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and holds a significant fundraising edge heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who prevailed in his party's primary, confronts structural challenges in a seat where Republicans have secured double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices in the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with historical results and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. A late-breaking development such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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