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Politica·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Politica·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Silvia Salis 18.4%

Elly Schlein 18%

Angelo Bonelli 10.8%

Polymarket

$14,411 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Silvia Salis 18.4%

Elly Schlein 18%

Angelo Bonelli 10.8%

Polymarket

$14,411 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$3,475 Vol.

43%

Elly Schlein

$712 Vol.

18%

Giuseppe Conte

$861 Vol.

9%

Antonio Tajani

$943 Vol.

3%

Matteo Salvini

$1,264 Vol.

2%

Guido Crosetto

$645 Vol.

2%

Mario Draghi

$483 Vol.

5%

Silvia Salis

$2,127 Vol.

18%

Roberto Vannacci

$2,133 Vol.

8%

Matteo Renzi

$417 Vol.

3%

Angelo Bonelli

$748 Vol.

11%

Carlo Calenda

$602 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Italy's center-right coalition under incumbent Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni continues to anchor trader sentiment at the front of the field, sustained by three years of relative governmental stability and policy continuity on migration and fiscal matters ahead of elections required by December 2027. The March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reform, which drew 54 percent opposition, dented momentum and highlighted coalition vulnerabilities without triggering immediate collapse or leadership shifts. On the center-left, Democratic Party leader Elly Schlein and Genoa mayor Silvia Salis trail closely as potential unifiers, buoyed by post-referendum opposition momentum and calls for primaries, while figures such as Giuseppe Conte and Angelo Bonelli reflect ongoing fragmentation that could prolong coalition negotiations under proportional representation.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,411
Data di fine
31 dic 2028
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Italy's center-right coalition under incumbent Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni continues to anchor trader sentiment at the front of the field, sustained by three years of relative governmental stability and policy continuity on migration and fiscal matters ahead of elections required by December 2027. The March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reform, which drew 54 percent opposition, dented momentum and highlighted coalition vulnerabilities without triggering immediate collapse or leadership shifts. On the center-left, Democratic Party leader Elly Schlein and Genoa mayor Silvia Salis trail closely as potential unifiers, buoyed by post-referendum opposition momentum and calls for primaries, while figures such as Giuseppe Conte and Angelo Bonelli reflect ongoing fragmentation that could prolong coalition negotiations under proportional representation.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,411
Data di fine
31 dic 2028
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Giorgia Meloni" a 43%, seguito da "Elly Schlein" a 18%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 43¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ha generato $14.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Prime Minister of Italy?", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" è "Giorgia Meloni" a 43%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Elly Schlein" a 18%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.