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icon for Capo Verde: vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
Politica·Capo Verde

Capo Verde: vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali

icon for Capo Verde: vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
Politica·Capo Verde

Capo Verde: vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali

José Maria Neves 68%

Milton Paiva 9%

Janine Lélis 7%

Casimiro de Pina 6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

José Maria Neves 68%

Milton Paiva 9%

Janine Lélis 7%

Casimiro de Pina 6%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for José Maria Neves

José Maria Neves

$1,332 Vol.

68%

icon for Milton Paiva

Milton Paiva

$295 Vol.

9%

icon for Janine Lélis

Janine Lélis

$249 Vol.

7%

icon for Casimiro de Pina

Casimiro de Pina

$258 Vol.

6%

icon for Péricles Tavares

Péricles Tavares

$287 Vol.

6%

icon for Fernando Delgado

Fernando Delgado

$258 Vol.

6%

icon for Joana Rosa

Joana Rosa

$294 Vol.

7%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).Incumbent José Maria Neves of the PAICV holds the strongest position ahead of the November 15, 2026, first-round vote, buoyed by his party's May legislative victory that expanded its National Assembly majority and reinforced organizational momentum. This outcome contrasts with the MpD's reduced seat total, leaving opposition contenders such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa with narrower paths in a contest that allows a potential November 29 runoff. Neves' prior first-round win in 2021 and the hybrid system's emphasis on broad consensus further align with trader pricing that places him well ahead of lower-probability names including Milton Paiva and Joana Rosa. With roughly three months remaining, legislative results and party mobilization remain the primary near-term drivers of implied probabilities.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volume
$2,973
Data di fine
15 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).Incumbent José Maria Neves of the PAICV holds the strongest position ahead of the November 15, 2026, first-round vote, buoyed by his party's May legislative victory that expanded its National Assembly majority and reinforced organizational momentum. This outcome contrasts with the MpD's reduced seat total, leaving opposition contenders such as Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa with narrower paths in a contest that allows a potential November 29 runoff. Neves' prior first-round win in 2021 and the hybrid system's emphasis on broad consensus further align with trader pricing that places him well ahead of lower-probability names including Milton Paiva and Joana Rosa. With roughly three months remaining, legislative results and party mobilization remain the primary near-term drivers of implied probabilities.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volume
$2,973
Data di fine
15 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Capo Verde: vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "José Maria Neves" a 68%, seguito da "Milton Paiva" a 9%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 68¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 68% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Capo Verde: vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 11, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Capo Verde: vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Capo Verde: vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali" è "José Maria Neves" a 68%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 68% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Milton Paiva" a 9%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Capo Verde: vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.