Traders assign a 92.5% probability against President Trump’s removal via the 25th Amendment before 2027, reflecting the amendment’s high procedural barriers and the current administration’s alignment. Invocation requires the vice president and a majority of cabinet secretaries to declare the president unable to discharge duties, followed by a two-thirds vote in both houses of Congress to sustain the action. With all cabinet positions held by Trump appointees and Republican majorities in Congress, coordinated internal opposition remains absent. No verified reports of incapacity or cabinet dissent have surfaced in the past year, and historical precedent shows the provision invoked only once in modern times for temporary medical procedures. Upcoming legislative and diplomatic schedules through 2026 offer no scheduled events likely to alter this dynamic.