Recent national polls through early July place President Trump's job approval in the 35-40% range, with aggregates near 37% amid steady disapproval above 55%, anchoring trader expectations for the July 17 reading near current levels. Limited movement in the past week reflects the absence of major legislative or economic catalysts that could shift independent or swing voter sentiment. The tight distribution across sub-39% and low-40% bins stems from polling variability across firms and the short resolution window, where minor sampling differences or late data releases can determine the final figure. Scheduled economic reports or administration announcements before mid-month remain the primary variables that could widen separation in either direction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<39,0 48%
40,0–40,4 43%
40,5–40,9 42%
41,0+ 42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 lug 2026
<39,0
48%
39,0–39,4
39%
39,5–39,9
40%
40,0–40,4
43%
40,5–40,9
42%
41,0+
42%
<39,0 48%
40,0–40,4 43%
40,5–40,9 42%
41,0+ 42%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 lug 2026
<39,0
$0 Vol.
48%
39,0–39,4
$0 Vol.
39%
39,5–39,9
$0 Vol.
40%
40,0–40,4
$0 Vol.
43%
40,5–40,9
$0 Vol.
42%
41,0+
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls through early July place President Trump's job approval in the 35-40% range, with aggregates near 37% amid steady disapproval above 55%, anchoring trader expectations for the July 17 reading near current levels. Limited movement in the past week reflects the absence of major legislative or economic catalysts that could shift independent or swing voter sentiment. The tight distribution across sub-39% and low-40% bins stems from polling variability across firms and the short resolution window, where minor sampling differences or late data releases can determine the final figure. Scheduled economic reports or administration announcements before mid-month remain the primary variables that could widen separation in either direction.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
17 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls through early July place President Trump's job approval in the 35-40% range, with aggregates near 37% amid steady disapproval above 55%, anchoring trader expectations for the July 17 reading near current levels. Limited movement in the past week reflects the absence of major legislative or economic catalysts that could shift independent or swing voter sentiment. The tight distribution across sub-39% and low-40% bins stems from polling variability across firms and the short resolution window, where minor sampling differences or late data releases can determine the final figure. Scheduled economic reports or administration announcements before mid-month remain the primary variables that could widen separation in either direction.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0Data di fine
17 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls through early July place President Trump's job approval in the 35-40% range, with aggregates near 37% amid steady disapproval above 55%, anchoring trader expectations for the July 17 reading near current levels. Limited movement in the past week reflects the absence of major legislative or economic catalysts that could shift independent or swing voter sentiment. The tight distribution across sub-39% and low-40% bins stems from polling variability across firms and the short resolution window, where minor sampling differences or late data releases can determine the final figure. Scheduled economic reports or administration announcements before mid-month remain the primary variables that could widen separation in either direction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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