Skip to main content
icon for AI data center in space by...?
Tecnologia·Weather

AI data center in space by...?

icon for AI data center in space by...?
Tecnologia·Weather

AI data center in space by...?

$35,279 Vol.

31 dic 2027
Polymarket

$35,279 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$20,709 Vol.

2%

December 31, 2027

$14,570 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Starcloud's November 2025 launch of a satellite carrying an NVIDIA H100 GPU—followed by successful on-orbit LLM training—represents the clearest recent catalyst, validating radiation-tolerant AI hardware in low Earth orbit and spurring FCC filings for massive constellations. SpaceX filed in January 2026 for up to one million orbital data center satellites tied to its xAI efforts, while Google published radiation test results and system designs for its Project Suncatcher TPU constellation. Additional momentum comes from Aetherflux's high-valuation funding round targeting a 2027 node and multiple 2026 FCC applications from U.S. firms. These developments reflect trader focus on engineering milestones, launch timelines, and the 100-accelerator threshold for market resolution amid terrestrial power and land constraints.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$35,279
Data di fine
1 gen 2028
Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Starcloud's November 2025 launch of a satellite carrying an NVIDIA H100 GPU—followed by successful on-orbit LLM training—represents the clearest recent catalyst, validating radiation-tolerant AI hardware in low Earth orbit and spurring FCC filings for massive constellations. SpaceX filed in January 2026 for up to one million orbital data center satellites tied to its xAI efforts, while Google published radiation test results and system designs for its Project Suncatcher TPU constellation. Additional momentum comes from Aetherflux's high-valuation funding round targeting a 2027 node and multiple 2026 FCC applications from U.S. firms. These developments reflect trader focus on engineering milestones, launch timelines, and the 100-accelerator threshold for market resolution amid terrestrial power and land constraints.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$35,279
Data di fine
1 gen 2028
Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Correlati

icon for Google e SpaceX concordano di installare data center nello spazio entro il 31 dicembre?

Google e SpaceX concordano di installare data center nello spazio entro il 31 dicembre?

12%
Sì
icon for I ricavi del Data Center di NVIDIA (NVDA) per il secondo trimestre supereranno gli 80 miliardi di dollari?

I ricavi del Data Center di NVIDIA (NVDA) per il secondo trimestre supereranno gli 80 miliardi di dollari?

92%
Sì
icon for Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?

Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?

76%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"AI data center in space by...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "December 31, 2027" a 25%, seguito da "December 31, 2026" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 25¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "AI data center in space by...?" ha generato $35.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 14, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "AI data center in space by...?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "AI data center in space by...?" è "December 31, 2027" a 25%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 25% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "December 31, 2026" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "AI data center in space by...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.