Anwar Ibrahim remains Malaysia’s prime minister under the unity government formed after the 2022 election, yet his position faces mounting pressure from coalition fractures, including recent defections and friction with key partners. Johor state polls on 11 July and Negeri Sembilan on 1 August function as early leadership tests whose outcomes could erode parliamentary support or prompt calls for a snap national election before the 2028 deadline. Internal tensions within Pakatan Harapan and the broader alliance, combined with opposition positioning by Islamist parties, have fueled speculation over early polls and cabinet stability following the December 2025 reshuffle. Traders monitor these state results and any parliamentary defections as the main near-term catalysts that could alter the timeline for a leadership change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato31 luglio 2026
22%
30 settembre 2026
28%
31 dicembre 2026
27%
$69 Vol.
31 luglio 2026
22%
30 settembre 2026
28%
31 dicembre 2026
27%
An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 25, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anwar Ibrahim remains Malaysia’s prime minister under the unity government formed after the 2022 election, yet his position faces mounting pressure from coalition fractures, including recent defections and friction with key partners. Johor state polls on 11 July and Negeri Sembilan on 1 August function as early leadership tests whose outcomes could erode parliamentary support or prompt calls for a snap national election before the 2028 deadline. Internal tensions within Pakatan Harapan and the broader alliance, combined with opposition positioning by Islamist parties, have fueled speculation over early polls and cabinet stability following the December 2025 reshuffle. Traders monitor these state results and any parliamentary defections as the main near-term catalysts that could alter the timeline for a leadership change.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti