Imran Khan remains imprisoned in Pakistan’s Adiala Jail under two active convictions—a 14-year sentence in the Al-Qadir Trust corruption case and a 17-year sentence in the Toshakhana state-gifts matter—both handed down in late 2025 and under appeal before the Islamabad High Court. Appeals have progressed slowly through mid-2026 with no suspension of sentences granted, while the government and military establishment have rejected negotiated releases or medical bail, citing judicial processes only. Recent Supreme Court directives on hospital transfers were challenged and resulted in Khan’s prompt return to jail after doctors declared him fit, and an early-September Islamabad High Court ruling addressed solitary confinement and visitation rights without ordering release. With roughly four months left until the December 31, 2026, deadline and entrenched political resistance to freeing a major opposition figure, traders assign a 91.5% probability to “No.”
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
9% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
Sì
9% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Imran Khan remains imprisoned in Pakistan’s Adiala Jail under two active convictions—a 14-year sentence in the Al-Qadir Trust corruption case and a 17-year sentence in the Toshakhana state-gifts matter—both handed down in late 2025 and under appeal before the Islamabad High Court. Appeals have progressed slowly through mid-2026 with no suspension of sentences granted, while the government and military establishment have rejected negotiated releases or medical bail, citing judicial processes only. Recent Supreme Court directives on hospital transfers were challenged and resulted in Khan’s prompt return to jail after doctors declared him fit, and an early-September Islamabad High Court ruling addressed solitary confinement and visitation rights without ordering release. With roughly four months left until the December 31, 2026, deadline and entrenched political resistance to freeing a major opposition figure, traders assign a 91.5% probability to “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$2,458Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Imran Khan remains imprisoned in Pakistan’s Adiala Jail under two active convictions—a 14-year sentence in the Al-Qadir Trust corruption case and a 17-year sentence in the Toshakhana state-gifts matter—both handed down in late 2025 and under appeal before the Islamabad High Court. Appeals have progressed slowly through mid-2026 with no suspension of sentences granted, while the government and military establishment have rejected negotiated releases or medical bail, citing judicial processes only. Recent Supreme Court directives on hospital transfers were challenged and resulted in Khan’s prompt return to jail after doctors declared him fit, and an early-September Islamabad High Court ruling addressed solitary confinement and visitation rights without ordering release. With roughly four months left until the December 31, 2026, deadline and entrenched political resistance to freeing a major opposition figure, traders assign a 91.5% probability to “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,458Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Imran Khan remains imprisoned in Pakistan’s Adiala Jail under two active convictions—a 14-year sentence in the Al-Qadir Trust corruption case and a 17-year sentence in the Toshakhana state-gifts matter—both handed down in late 2025 and under appeal before the Islamabad High Court. Appeals have progressed slowly through mid-2026 with no suspension of sentences granted, while the government and military establishment have rejected negotiated releases or medical bail, citing judicial processes only. Recent Supreme Court directives on hospital transfers were challenged and resulted in Khan’s prompt return to jail after doctors declared him fit, and an early-September Islamabad High Court ruling addressed solitary confinement and visitation rights without ordering release. With roughly four months left until the December 31, 2026, deadline and entrenched political resistance to freeing a major opposition figure, traders assign a 91.5% probability to “No.”
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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