Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs maintains consistent leads over Republican U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs, the GOP primary frontrunner with Trump endorsement, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 75.5% in this battleground state race. Recent polls include TIPP Insights (April 20-24, 2026) showing Hobbs ahead 48%-37% among likely voters and Noble Predictive Insights (May 12-16) with her up 40%-38%, yielding an RCP average of Hobbs +1.5; her approval stands at +5. Biggs leads Schweikert 52%-10% in the GOP primary per NextGen (April 13-16), but general election matchups favor the incumbent ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore dell'Arizona
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore dell'Arizona
$42,522 Vol.
$42,522 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
76%
Repubblicano
24%
$42,522 Vol.
$42,522 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$22,824 Vol.
76%
Repubblicano
$19,698 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs maintains consistent leads over Republican U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs, the GOP primary frontrunner with Trump endorsement, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 75.5% in this battleground state race. Recent polls include TIPP Insights (April 20-24, 2026) showing Hobbs ahead 48%-37% among likely voters and Noble Predictive Insights (May 12-16) with her up 40%-38%, yielding an RCP average of Hobbs +1.5; her approval stands at +5. Biggs leads Schweikert 52%-10% in the GOP primary per NextGen (April 13-16), but general election matchups favor the incumbent ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$42,522Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs maintains consistent leads over Republican U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs, the GOP primary frontrunner with Trump endorsement, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 75.5% in this battleground state race. Recent polls include TIPP Insights (April 20-24, 2026) showing Hobbs ahead 48%-37% among likely voters and Noble Predictive Insights (May 12-16) with her up 40%-38%, yielding an RCP average of Hobbs +1.5; her approval stands at +5. Biggs leads Schweikert 52%-10% in the GOP primary per NextGen (April 13-16), but general election matchups favor the incumbent ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$42,522Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs maintains consistent leads over Republican U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs, the GOP primary frontrunner with Trump endorsement, driving trader consensus to price a Democratic victory at 75.5% in this battleground state race. Recent polls include TIPP Insights (April 20-24, 2026) showing Hobbs ahead 48%-37% among likely voters and Noble Predictive Insights (May 12-16) with her up 40%-38%, yielding an RCP average of Hobbs +1.5; her approval stands at +5. Biggs leads Schweikert 52%-10% in the GOP primary per NextGen (April 13-16), but general election matchups favor the incumbent ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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