Katie Hobbs holds a strong lead in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages among independents and women, with recent surveys from August showing her ahead by 6–15 points among likely voters. As the Democratic incumbent, she has consolidated strong support within her party while Biggs, the Republican nominee who won his July primary, has faced challenges consolidating GOP voters and attracting crossover support. High undecided shares among Republicans and weaker enthusiasm in that base have contributed to the gap, even as Arizona remains a competitive battleground with the November 3 general election approaching. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these trends reflected in multiple recent polls.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore dell'Arizona
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore dell'Arizona
$67,173 Vol.
$67,173 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
88%
Repubblicano
13%
$67,173 Vol.
$67,173 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
$31,009 Vol.
88%
Repubblicano
$36,163 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs holds a strong lead in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages among independents and women, with recent surveys from August showing her ahead by 6–15 points among likely voters. As the Democratic incumbent, she has consolidated strong support within her party while Biggs, the Republican nominee who won his July primary, has faced challenges consolidating GOP voters and attracting crossover support. High undecided shares among Republicans and weaker enthusiasm in that base have contributed to the gap, even as Arizona remains a competitive battleground with the November 3 general election approaching. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these trends reflected in multiple recent polls.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$67,173Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs holds a strong lead in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages among independents and women, with recent surveys from August showing her ahead by 6–15 points among likely voters. As the Democratic incumbent, she has consolidated strong support within her party while Biggs, the Republican nominee who won his July primary, has faced challenges consolidating GOP voters and attracting crossover support. High undecided shares among Republicans and weaker enthusiasm in that base have contributed to the gap, even as Arizona remains a competitive battleground with the November 3 general election approaching. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these trends reflected in multiple recent polls.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$67,173Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Katie Hobbs holds a strong lead in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages among independents and women, with recent surveys from August showing her ahead by 6–15 points among likely voters. As the Democratic incumbent, she has consolidated strong support within her party while Biggs, the Republican nominee who won his July primary, has faced challenges consolidating GOP voters and attracting crossover support. High undecided shares among Republicans and weaker enthusiasm in that base have contributed to the gap, even as Arizona remains a competitive battleground with the November 3 general election approaching. Trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with these trends reflected in multiple recent polls.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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