Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs, running unopposed in her primary, maintains consistent leads of 4–8 points over Republican nominee Andy Biggs in recent general election polling averages. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively on July 21 after defeating Rep. David Schweikert and other challengers in a contest that followed earlier speculation about stronger alternatives. These results, combined with Hobbs’s narrow 2022 victory and Arizona’s mixed recent voting patterns, have shaped trader consensus around an 87% implied probability for a Democratic win. No major new polling or campaign developments have shifted the race significantly in the past month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore dell'Arizona
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore dell'Arizona
$66,579 Vol.
$66,579 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
87%
Repubblicano
14%
$66,579 Vol.
$66,579 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$30,774 Vol.
87%
Repubblicano
$35,805 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs, running unopposed in her primary, maintains consistent leads of 4–8 points over Republican nominee Andy Biggs in recent general election polling averages. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively on July 21 after defeating Rep. David Schweikert and other challengers in a contest that followed earlier speculation about stronger alternatives. These results, combined with Hobbs’s narrow 2022 victory and Arizona’s mixed recent voting patterns, have shaped trader consensus around an 87% implied probability for a Democratic win. No major new polling or campaign developments have shifted the race significantly in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$66,579Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs, running unopposed in her primary, maintains consistent leads of 4–8 points over Republican nominee Andy Biggs in recent general election polling averages. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively on July 21 after defeating Rep. David Schweikert and other challengers in a contest that followed earlier speculation about stronger alternatives. These results, combined with Hobbs’s narrow 2022 victory and Arizona’s mixed recent voting patterns, have shaped trader consensus around an 87% implied probability for a Democratic win. No major new polling or campaign developments have shifted the race significantly in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$66,579Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs, running unopposed in her primary, maintains consistent leads of 4–8 points over Republican nominee Andy Biggs in recent general election polling averages. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively on July 21 after defeating Rep. David Schweikert and other challengers in a contest that followed earlier speculation about stronger alternatives. These results, combined with Hobbs’s narrow 2022 victory and Arizona’s mixed recent voting patterns, have shaped trader consensus around an 87% implied probability for a Democratic win. No major new polling or campaign developments have shifted the race significantly in the past month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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